Miami Dolphins
2026: 7-10 (last season) · Elo 1468 · #21 of 32 · 20.4 for, 24.9 against · ATS 8-9
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 56%
- Early-down pass rate
- 50%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 50%
- Pass rate over expected
- −5.8%
- Seconds per play
- 31.2
- No-huddle
- 4%
- Shotgun
- 72%
- Play-action rate
- 27%
- RPO rate
- 6%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Explosive rush rate
- #1 · 13.4%
- Yards / rush
- #3 · 4.8
- YAC / completion
- #7 · 5.6
- Completion % over expected
- #9 · +1.7
- Interception rate
- #31 · 3.8%
- Turnovers / game
- #28 · 1.35
- Third-down conversion
- #27 · 35%
- Pass success rate
- #25 · 43%
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Sack rate generated
- #14 · 6.6%
- Third-down conversion
- #18 · 40%
- EPA / rush
- #20 · −0.03
- Takeaways / game
- #21 · 1.06
- Completion % over expected
- #32 · +7.1
- Pass success rate
- #32 · 52%
- Explosive rush rate
- #28 · 12.1%
- EPA / dropback
- #27 · +0.17
Miami Dolphins · key players
- Tua Tagovailoa QB18.6/27.4 · 190 yds/g · 20-15 TD-INT · +0.03 EPA/db
- Jaylen Waddle WR6.3 tgt/g · 23% share · 57 yds/g · 6 TD · aDOT 13.1
- Malik Washington WR3.8 tgt/g · 14% share · 19 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 5.2
- Darren Waller TE4.3 tgt/g · 16% share · 35 yds/g · 6 TD · aDOT 10.6
- Greg Dulcich TE3.7 tgt/g · 15% share · 37 yds/g · 1 TD · aDOT 4.7
- De'Von Achane RB14.9 car/g · 84 yds/g · 5.7 ypc · 8 TD · +0.06 EPA/car
- Jaylen Wright RB7.8 car/g · 32 yds/g · 4.1 ypc · 2 TD · −0.08 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | at Las Vegas Raiders | — | +3.5 | MIA 54% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at San Francisco 49ers | — | +10.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | — | +7.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | at Minnesota Vikings | — | +7.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | — | +6 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | at New York Jets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | vs New England Patriots | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | vs Detroit Lions | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | at Indianapolis Colts | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | at Buffalo Bills | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | vsNew York Jets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | at Denver Broncos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vs Chicago Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | at Green Bay Packers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | vsBuffalo Bills | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | atNew England Patriots | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.