Miami beat New York 28–25 at New York (MetLife Stadium) on Oct 25, 2026.
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 28 |
| NYJ | 7 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 25 |
How the model's winner call for this game did, graded in public.
MIA won 2 of 4 quartersNYJ won 2The lead under each quarter is the score after it.
| Book | NYJ spread | Total | MIA ML | NYJ ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -3.5(-110) | 38.5(-120/-108) | +165 | -200 |
| DraftKings | -3.5(-120) | 39.5(-102/-118) | +180 | -218 |
| FanDuel | -3.5(-112) | 39.5(-105/-115) | +156 | -186 |
| Hard Rock | -3.5(-110) | 39.5(-110/-110) | +175 | -210 |
| Caesars | -3.5(-114) | 39.5(-109/-110) | +165 | -205 |
Hover or tap a chart to read any hour; click to pin it.
Each line is the number most books post, a step at each hour a book changed one, since we first priced the game; the band is the lowest and highest number any book had up then (ring = first seen, dot = the close). Spread: higher = the home side laying more. The moneyline is the home side's win chance with the books' margin removed.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 525 league games, 30 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
MIA end zone ← 100 yards → NYJ end zone
Division rivals — they meet twice every season. MIA have won the last 3.
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.