NBA · Track record
NBA: every call, graded
Winner picks only — there is no spread or total for NBA, so there is no market being beaten, just the winner call. Locked before tipoff, graded after final. How the model works →
Locked before tipoff
No graded picks yet — the first locked game grades the day after it plays.
Calibration
Model said 50–60%no graded picks yet
Model said 60–70%no graded picks yet
Model said 70–80%no graded picks yet
Model said 80–100%no graded picks yet
live record — actual win rate what the model said, on average backtest overall: 65.0% (n=7,233)
Backtest: walk-forward, scored once on 7,233 held-out games, 65.0% winners against always-favor-home 55.2%.
Ledger
Nothing graded yet.
Grades post after each game goes final. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.