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Predictions

NHL picks

About this page
Winner picks on every game, overtime and shootouts included, graded after the final. Lines, props, standings and goalie logs alongside.

Winners calledOnly picks locked before the start count. A pick made later, or priced after the fact, never enters it.

Locked before the start, graded after
Won–lost
24–19
Win rateWhere the true win rate likely sits (90% range). Under 30 picks, too early to read.
56%
90% range 43–68%
Graded
43
picks
Expected winsThe sum of its stated win probabilities. If those are right, wins land in this range 9 times in 10.
25.2
90% range 19.9–30.4
Win rate 56%90% rangeIts probabilities said 59%

Won 24. Its stated probabilities expected 25.2 (90% range 19.9–30.4): inside that range, in line with its probabilities.

Betting favorite on the same 41 priced games: 23–18 (ours 23–18).

Backtest, not in the record: 58.6% of 8,510 games (walk-forward backtest of the ratings alone, held-out seasons 2019–26).

30 upcoming games with a model pick

Pro
Every pick, with its win probability and the reasoning. Locked before the start and graded in public; the record is always free.
Unlock the picks with Pro7-day free trial for new subscribers · cancel anytimeSee a real Pro page: NFL: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints, a finished game →

Open picks are provisional until the final lock shortly before the start: a pick is re-written until then and can change. Once it is locked it is graded on the full results, misses included. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.