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Predictions

NBA picks

The model

Winners called

71%Won–lost 114–46160 graded
90% range 65–77%
When it says 80–100%, it has won 100% (23 picks).
  • Locked before the start
  • Graded in public
  • Every miss counted
Every graded pick →

On games with a price, the win chance is built on the betting market's number, so these picks usually match the favorite.

How the record is checked

Won 114. Its stated probabilities expected 106.7 (90% range 97.2–116.2): inside that range, in line with its probabilities.

Backtest, not in the record: 65.0% of 7,233 games (walk-forward backtest of the ratings alone, held-out seasons 2020–25).

30 upcoming games with a model pick

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Every pick comes with its win chance and the reason behind it, locked before the start and graded in public. The record is always free.See a real Pro page: NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers, a finished game →

Once a pick is locked it is graded on the full results, misses included. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.