The Picks, card by card
Every fight's pick on one page per event — winner, method, probability, odds. Locked before each fight, graded after; nothing is edited in hindsight.
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4 Tue, Sep 1
Full one-pager →Development card — bettable and picked like any other, but most of these fighters have little or no tracked tape, so the model leans on career records and division priors. These picks are graded on Results yet excluded from the public track record totals.
Patrick Rivera vs Adam DarbyAdam Darby 63% by SUB · ML -390Brandon Holmes vs Modestino RodriguesModestino Rodrigues 53% by KO/TKO · ML +151Liam McCracken vs Silvestre SanchezSilvestre Sanchez 51% by DEC · ML +130Gabriel Lourenço vs Charlie ClevelandCharlie Cleveland 51% by KO/TKO · ML -188Adam Livingston vs Hunter SmithAdam Livingston 52% by KO/TKO · ML -178
Also upcoming
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse →
Sat, Sep 5 · 14 fights · picks locked pre-fight
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 5 →DEV CARD
Tue, Sep 8 · 5 fights · picks locked pre-fight · not counted in the track record
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado →DEV CARD
Sat, Sep 12 · 12 fights · picks locked pre-fight · not counted in the track record
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 →
Sat, Sep 19 · 13 fights · picks locked pre-fight
Past cards, graded
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song →
Sat, Aug 29 · 13 fights · 13 graded
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3 →DEV CARD
Tue, Aug 25 · 5 fights · 5 graded · not counted in the track record
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues →
Sat, Aug 22 · 13 fights · 13 graded
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2 →DEV CARD
Tue, Aug 18 · 5 fights · 5 graded · not counted in the track record
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry →
Sat, Aug 15 · 12 fights · 12 graded
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 1 →DEV CARD
Tue, Aug 11 · 5 fights · 5 graded · not counted in the track record
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld →
Sat, Aug 8 · 12 fights · 12 graded
UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez →
Sat, Aug 1 · 14 fights · 14 graded
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov →
Sat, Jul 25 · 12 fights · 12 graded
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman →
Sat, Jul 18 · 12 fights · 12 graded
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 →
Sat, Jul 11 · 14 fights · 14 graded