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College Football picks and predictions, Week 11

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The model

Winners called

75%Won–lost 475–155630 graded
90% range 72–78%
When it says 90–100%, it has won 97% (101 picks).
  • Locked before the start
  • Graded in public
  • Every miss counted
Every graded pick →

On games with a price, the win chance is built on the betting market's number, so these picks usually match the favorite.

How the record is checked

Won 475. Its stated probabilities expected 462.5 (90% range 445.2–479.8): inside that range, in line with its probabilities.

By method: model alone 225–48 (273), market-anchored 250–107 (357).

Backtest, not in the record: 70.9% of 1,893 games (walk-forward backtest of the model alone, 2024–26 seasons).

30 upcoming games with a model pick

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Every pick comes with its win chance and the reason behind it, locked before the start and graded in public. The record is always free.See a real Pro page: College football: Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks, a finished game →