San Francisco 49ers
2026: 13-6 (last season) · Elo 1554 · #9 of 32 · 24.5 for, 22.7 against · ATS 12-7
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 59%
- Early-down pass rate
- 55%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 58%
- Pass rate over expected
- −0.7%
- Seconds per play
- 29.3
- No-huddle
- 4%
- Shotgun
- 55%
- Play-action rate
- 22%
- RPO rate
- 1%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Third-down conversion
- #1 · 51%
- Pass success rate
- #3 · 52%
- Completion % over expected
- #3 · +4.7
- Sack rate
- #4 · 4.3%
- Turnovers / game
- #31 · 1.42
- Yards / rush
- #29 · 3.7
- Interception rate
- #28 · 3.0%
- YAC / completion
- #28 · 4.6
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- YAC / completion
- #5 · 4.6
- Explosive pass rate
- #6 · 6.9%
- Explosive rush rate
- #8 · 8.6%
- Third-down conversion
- #14 · 40%
- Rush success rate
- #32 · 48%
- Sack rate generated
- #32 · 3.4%
- Interceptions forced
- #31 · 0.9%
- Takeaways / game
- #28 · 0.74
San Francisco 49ers · key players
- Brock Purdy QB20.9/31.1 · 234 yds/g · 22-13 TD-INT · +0.16 EPA/db
- Jauan Jennings WR5.8 tgt/g · 19% share · 42 yds/g · 9 TD · aDOT 10.3
- George Kittle TEQuestionable5.9 tgt/g · 20% share · 53 yds/g · 7 TD · aDOT 6.7
- Kendrick Bourne WR3.7 tgt/g · 11% share · 37 yds/g · 0 TD · aDOT 11.3
- Ricky Pearsall WR5.5 tgt/g · 17% share · 53 yds/g · 0 TD · aDOT 13.8
- Christian McCaffrey RBQuestionable17.7 car/g · 68 yds/g · 3.8 ypc · 10 TD · −0.08 EPA/car
- Brian Robinson RB5.6 car/g · 24 yds/g · 4.3 ypc · 2 TD · −0.03 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10W1 | vs Los Angeles Rams | — | +3.5 | LAR 59% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | vs Miami Dolphins | — | -10.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | vs Arizona Cardinals | — | -11.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | vs Denver Broncos | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | at Seattle Seahawks | — | +3.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 19W6 | vs Washington Commanders | — | -5.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | at Atlanta Falcons | — | -4.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | at Dallas Cowboys | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | vs Minnesota Vikings | — | -4.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | vsSeattle Seahawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | at New York Giants | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vsLos Angeles Rams | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 17W15 | at Los Angeles Chargers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | at Kansas City Chiefs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | atArizona Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.