Loading the game…
San Francisco (6-1) hosts Seattle (4-3) at Levi's Stadium on Nov 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET.
Lines post about a week before the game.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SEA end zone ← 100 yards → SF end zone
A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 32). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.
SF's defense has it in third-down conversion, red-zone touchdown rate and rushing.
SF has the clear advantage in red-zone touchdown rate and sacks; SEA's defense has it in turnovers.
SEA offensevs
SF defenseSEA offense ranks better in 1 of 6 matchups · SF defense in 5 (3 by a clear margin)
SF offensevsSEA defenseSF offense ranks better in 2 of 6 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SEA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin) · 2 even
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
228 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
SF pressures on 24% of dropbacks (#30 of 32); he completes 41% under pressure (league 34%).
94.4 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
132 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
His routes (Hitch / curl 18%, In / dig 15%, Quick out 11%): SF allowed 7.7 yds a target, league 7.9.
Same SF readings against WRs as above.
His routes (Hitch / curl 19%, Go 17%, Quick out 12%): SF allowed 7.9 yds a target, league 8.1.
53.8 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
His routes (Quick out 36%, Hitch / curl 26%, Shallow cross 12%): SF allowed 6.5 yds a target, league 6.7.
189 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings tough
SEA pressures on 27% of dropbacks (#23 of 32); he completes 41% under pressure (league 34%).
72.6 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings tough
105 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings tough
His routes (Go 16%, In / dig 15%, Deep out 15%): SEA allowed 8.2 yds a target, league 8.6.
Same SEA readings against WRs as above.
His routes (Screen 23%, In / dig 16%, Hitch / curl 12%): SEA allowed 7.2 yds a target, league 7.5.
47.2 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings tough
His routes (Quick out 21%, In / dig 12%, Hitch / curl 10%): SEA allowed 7.5 yds a target, league 7.8.
Players: this season's attempts, carries and targets (last season before a team's first game); anyone ruled out on the injury report is left off. Routes are where his targets came from over 2024–25, each route's yards shrunk toward the league's. Books already price these matchups.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores (early in a season that reaches back into last season; each row shows how many of its games are from each season), against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
Where a player's own strength meets something tonight's opponent gives up more than most, measured against the league. Matchups like these were tested as inputs for player props and added nothing the books' lines do not already reflect: research, not a pick.
Lines from regulated US sportsbooks; the fair chance is the books' own, with their margin taken out.
Seattle Seahawks9 listedSan Francisco 49ers10 listedTimes are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
The referee is posted closer to kickoff.
Book-by-book prices appear about a week before the game.
Not enough line history yet: the charts appear once the books have posted this game's numbers more than once.
Division rivals — they meet twice every season.
Seattle SeahawksSan Francisco 49ersLines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 32 ranked teams, over each team's last 17 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 7 in 2026, 10 in 2025). A longer bar = higher in the league (rank 1 = highest, even for points allowed). A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.