Injury newsOne row per player: his latest change on the report as we saw it, and the statuses he went through. A timeline of the report, not a forecast.◷History
▲Ben Brown CUpgraded to Questionable from Out · KneeQuestionable → Doubtful → Out → QuestionableStill listed30 h ago
▲Carlton Davis III CBUpgraded to Questionable from Out · NeckQuestionable → Out → Questionable → Out → Questionable → Out → QuestionableStill listed30 h ago
▲Karon Prunty CBUpgraded to Questionable from Out · HamstringQuestionable → Out → Questionable → Out → Questionable → Out → QuestionableStill listed30 h ago
▲Channing Canada CBUpgraded to Questionable from Out · HamstringQuestionable → Out → Questionable → Out → Questionable → Out → Questionable → Out → QuestionableStill listed30 h ago
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○Joshua Farmer DTOff the report (was Out)Oct 26
○Behren Morton QBOff the report (was Out)Oct 26
○Romeo Doubs WROff the report (was Injured Reserve)Questionable → Out → Questionable → Injured ReserveOct 25
○Christian Gonzalez CBOff the report (was Questionable)Questionable → Out → Questionable → Out → QuestionableOct 22
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
ScheduleEvery game this season: results, upcoming kickoffs and spreads, and the model's locked call with its grade.
Props vs NEEveryone's props against this defense and the result: green = over (or yes) hit, red = didn't. Final games only.
Player & date
Result
Line
Odds
Caleb WilliamsQB
NE @ CHI · 10/22
308✓
Over 245.5
-115
Geno SmithQB
NYJ @ NE · 10/18
252✓
Over 212.5
-115
Kirk CousinsQB
LV @ NE · 10/11
243✓
Over 233.5
-115
Josh AllenQB
NE @ BUF · 10/4
253✓
Over 242.5
-113
Trevor LawrenceQB
NE @ JAX · 9/27
182✕
Over 228.5
-111
Full stat sheetEvery measure for NE: offense (left) and defense (right), with league rank of 32 (1 = best).◷History
2026 season
OffenseDefense
Passing
EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: the best single passing-efficiency number. Defense column: what it allows.
+0.21#6
+0.07#19
Pass success rate
52%#3
47%#22
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards.
9.0%#8
9.2%#24
Yards / dropback
7.8#3
6.4#16
Completion % over expectedCompletions above what the throws' difficulty predicts, per attempt. Defense column: what it allows.
+6.8#2
+2.8#23
YAC / completion
5.0#17
5.6#24
Sack rateSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.
5.1%#14
6.8%#11
Interception rate
3.7%#31
1.8%#18
Rushing
EPA / rushExpected points added per rush. Defense column: what it allows.
−0.17#27
−0.06#24
Rush success rate
35%#27
39%#12
Explosive rush rateRushes of 10+ yards.
8.7%#18
9.6%#18
Yards / rush
3.8#22
3.9#12
Situational
Third-down conversion
40%#13
36%#8
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown.
55%#19
57%#14
Turnovers / game
2.00#31
1.00#21
New England Patriots · routes and coverage
2024–25 seasons
How the defense plays
Man
42%#14/32
league 40%
Pressure
28%
league 30%
Rushers
4.36
per dropback
Coverage
Share
League
Cover 1
33.8%
29.9%
Cover 3
24.5%
22.7%
Cover 2
22.4%
22.1%
Cover 4
7.7%
8.2%
Cover 0
4.7%
4.2%
2-man
3.5%
6.2%
Cover 6
2.2%
4.5%
Cover 9
1.2%
2.1%
What it has allowed, by route
Route
Tgt
Yds/tgt
AdjYards per target adjusted toward the league average when it rests on few targets.
League
Screen
98
5.3
5.5
5.8
Swing
61
4.5
4.9
5.3
Quick out
191
5.2
5.3
5.5
Slant
69
6.5
6.8
7.2
Hitch / curl
208
6.7
6.7
6.8
Shallow cross
79
6.7
6.6
6.5
Texas / angle
16
10.7
7.4
6.5
In / dig
109
8.4
8.8
9.6
Deep out
91
9.2
8.7
8.0
Corner
67
6.6
8.4
10.4
Post
56
11.9
12.1
12.3
Go
94
7.6
8.5
9.9
Wheel
11
5.1
9.4
10.2
Green: the defense allows fewer yards per target than average on that route (a strength); red: more (a weakness) — matching the panels above.
Where New England Patriots's targets come from
Screen
8%
Swing
4%
Quick out
18%
Slant
6%
Hitch / curl
19%
Shallow cross
7%
Texas / angle
0%
In / dig
9%
Deep out
7%
Corner
5%
Post
6%
Go
9%
Wheel
1%
Route and coverage labels come from play charting: the route is the targeted receiver's, the coverage is what the defense played on the dropback. Descriptions of games already played, not projections.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:NE scores 60% · allows 46%league 50%
NE trendsRank 1 = highest in the league, even for points against (allowed most). A rank is not a grade.◷History
17 games · Oct 2025 – Oct 2026
Record
13-4
17 games
Points for
27.6
#7 of 32 · league 22.9
Points against
19.4
#27 of 32 · league 23.0
Scoring margin
+8.2
#3 of 32 · league 0.0
Regular season only, the last 17 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026) (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025). Every rank is among the 32 teams with a full sample.
Points by quarter and halfPoints scored and allowed in each quarter, per game. The second half includes overtime.◷History
per game · n = 17
Points in the
For
Against
League avg
1st quarter
6.9#2 of 32
3.4#26 of 32
4.7
2nd quarter
9.4#3 of 32
5.5#24 of 32
6.8
3rd quarter
5.8#8 of 32
4.9#13 of 32
4.8
4th quarter
5.5#27 of 32
5.6#23 of 32
6.4
1st half
16.3#1 of 32
8.9#27 of 32
11.5
2nd half
11.3#14 of 32
10.5#23 of 32
11.5
First half against second halfThe share of a team's points that came before halftime, and the share of the points it allowed.◷History
Measure
NE
League
n
Share of points scored in the 1st half
59.1%#1 of 32
49.8%
17
Share of points allowed in the 1st half
46.1%#24 of 32
49.8%
17
PaceOffensive plays per game, plays the defense faced, and how often the offense dropped back to pass.◷History
Measure
NE
League
n
Plays per game
60.8#16 of 32
60.9
17
Plays faced per game
57.9#28 of 32
60.7
17
Dropback rate
59.4%#19 of 32
59.9%
17
Red zoneDrives that reached the opponent's 20, and how often they ended in a touchdown. Counted by drive.◷History
Measure
NE
League
n
Red-zone trips per game
3.53#10 of 32
3.22
17
Red-zone touchdown rate
55.0%#19 of 32
57.2%
17
Red-zone trips allowed per game
2.76#27 of 32
3.21
17
Red-zone touchdown rate allowed
61.7%#13 of 32
57.3%
17
Home, road, recent form and restSlices of the same games. Ranks compare the same slice across teams; a slice with few games is unranked.◷History
NE
Games
Record
Points for
Points against
Scoring margin
Plays per game
All games
17
13-4
27.6#7 of 32
19.4#27 of 32
+8.2#3 of 32
60.8#16 of 32
At home
9
8-1
30.7#3 of 32
16.6#28 of 32
+14.1#2 of 32
59.3#17 of 32
On the road
8
5-3
24.1#12 of 32
22.6#18 of 32
+1.5#11 of 32
62.4#10 of 32
Last 5 games
5
3-2
26.0#7 of 32
25.4#10 of 32
+0.6#20 of 32
62.0#14 of 32
Short rest
2
1-1
25.5—
22.0—
+3.5—
54.5—
Normal rest
11
10-1
30.1#3 of 32
19.5#28 of 32
+10.5#1 of 32
62.6#12 of 32
Long rest
3
2-1
25.7#6 of 12
19.3#5 of 12
+6.3#7 of 12
56.0#12 of 12
Neutral-site games count as neither home nor road. A slice with few games moves a lot from one game; read it with its n.
Roster · 2026 · 16Players at quarterback, running back, receiver, tight end and kicker who recorded a stat for the team in the 2026 season, by position.
Records and scoring from final scores; ranks and tendencies from play-by-play. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
DeMario DouglasWR3416.3%
Hunter HenryTE3114.8%
Romeo DoubsWR2411.5%
Rhamondre StevensonRB2411.5%
A.J. BrownWR209.6%
Mack HollinsWR209.6%
Eli RaridonTE167.7%
Efton Chism IIIWR157.2%
Kyle WilliamsWR125.7%
TreVeyon HendersonRB73.3%
Reggie GilliamRB21.0%
Lan LarisonRB21.0%
Corey KinerRB21.0%
New England Patriots6 listed
SEASeattle SeahawksL 10–13SEA 71%✓
PITPittsburgh SteelersW 20–3NE 67%✓
JAXJacksonville JaguarsL 6–35JAX 59%✓
BUFBuffalo BillsW 29–26BUF 74%✗
LVLas Vegas RaidersW 45–17NE 65%✓
NYJNew York JetsW 26–19NE 77%✓
CHIChicago BearsL 24–30CHI 58%✓
MIAMiami DolphinsNextNE -7—
GBGreen Bay PackersNE -3—
DETDetroit LionsNE -1.5—
LACLos Angeles Chargers——
MINMinnesota Vikings——
KCKansas City Chiefs——
DENDenver Broncos——
