Cleveland Browns
2026: 5-12 (last season) · Elo 1424 · #27 of 32 · 16.4 for, 22.3 against · ATS 8-9
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 62%
- Early-down pass rate
- 57%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 53%
- Pass rate over expected
- −3.7%
- Seconds per play
- 29.1
- No-huddle
- 9%
- Shotgun
- 68%
- Play-action rate
- 22%
- RPO rate
- 4%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- YAC / completion
- #12 · 5.3
- Sack rate
- #25 · 8.0%
- EPA / rush
- #25 · −0.09
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #25 · 53%
- Completion % over expected
- #32 · −5.7
- Pass success rate
- #32 · 34%
- EPA / dropback
- #32 · −0.25
- Rush success rate
- #31 · 35%
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Sack rate generated
- #2 · 9.4%
- EPA / dropback
- #3 · −0.11
- Yards / dropback
- #3 · 5.4
- Rush success rate
- #5 · 37%
- Takeaways / game
- #24 · 0.94
- YAC / completion
- #23 · 5.3
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #17 · 58%
- Yards / rush
- #17 · 4.2
Cleveland Browns · key players
- Shedeur Sanders QB15.0/26.5 · 175 yds/g · 7-10 TD-INT · −0.25 EPA/db
- Harold Fannin Jr. TE6.7 tgt/g · 22% share · 46 yds/g · 6 TD · aDOT 6.0
- Jerry Jeudy WR6.2 tgt/g · 21% share · 35 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 12.2
- David Njoku TE4.4 tgt/g · 12% share · 27 yds/g · 4 TD · aDOT 5.3
- Isaiah Bond WRQuestionable2.9 tgt/g · 9% share · 23 yds/g · 0 TD · aDOT 17.1
- Quinshon Judkins RB16.4 car/g · 59 yds/g · 3.6 ypc · 7 TD · −0.11 EPA/car
- Dylan Sampson RB4.3 car/g · 12 yds/g · 2.7 ypc · 0 TD · −0.26 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | at Jacksonville Jaguars | — | +8 | JAX 75% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | +6.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | vs Carolina Panthers | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 1W4 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | — | +2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | at New York Jets | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | vs Baltimore Ravens | — | +6.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | at Tennessee Titans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | atPittsburgh Steelers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | at New Orleans Saints | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | vs Houston Texans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vs Atlanta Falcons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | at New York Giants | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | atBaltimore Ravens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | vs Indianapolis Colts | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | atCincinnati Bengals | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.