SMU Mustangs
2026: 9-4 (last season) · Elo 1714 · #22 of 240 · 32.2 for, 20.5 against · ATS 6-7
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +12.1
- SP+ (2025)
- +13.4
- Talent composite
- 765
- Returning production
- 57%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 55%
- Standard-down share
- 68%
- Plays / game
- 64
- Possession / game
- 26:53
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Power success
- #19 · 79%
- Passing PPA / play
- #23 · +0.40
- Completion %
- #26 · 66%
- Yards / pass attempt
- #35 · 8.0
- Interception rate
- #120 · 3.9%
- Havoc rate faced
- #99 · 16.8%
- Turnovers / game
- #94 · 1.46
- Rush success rate
- #92 · 42%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush explosiveness
- #4 · 0.78
- Rushing PPA / play
- #5 · −0.08
- Standard-down PPA
- #5 · −0.09
- Takeaways / game
- #5 · 2.15
- Pass success rate
- #90 · 43%
- Passing-down PPA
- #68 · +0.29
- Yards / pass attempt
- #62 · 7.1
- Interceptions forced
- #60 · 2.5%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7W1 | at Florida State Seminoles | — | -3 | SMU 58% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs UC Davis Aggies | — | -34.5 | SMU 86% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at #24 Louisville Cardinals | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Missouri State Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs Boston College Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | vs Virginia Cavaliers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vsCalifornia Golden Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | at Syracuse Orange | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 6W10 | vs Virginia Tech Hokies | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | at #4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish | — | +17.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | atStanford Cardinal | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.