College football player prop trends
Where a player's own games in tonight's situations and the books' no-vig price disagree by more than luck usually explains, plus team trends for the day's games. History, not a pick.About this page
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College footballplayer insights
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Team trends for upcoming games
USM at TROYTue 8:00 PM ET
| Measure | USMlast 13 games · 4 in 2026, 9 in 2025 | TROYlast 13 games · 4 in 2026, 9 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd quarter points for | 8.0#22 of 136 | 3.6#123 of 136 | 6.0 |
| Red-zone touchdown rate allowed | 64.4%#19 of 136 | 45.5%#118 of 136 | 55.8% |
| 4th quarter points against | 7.8#29 of 136 | 4.8#115 of 136 | 6.4 |
| Plays faced per game | 70.5#10 of 136 | 65.2#63 of 136 | 64.7 |
| Red-zone trips per game | 3.23#88 of 136 | 2.92#112 of 136 | 3.51 |
| Dropback rate | 51.0%#53 of 136 | 52.6%#38 of 136 | 48.4% |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Sep 2026; 4 in 2026, 9 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
JVST at KENNWed 7:00 PM ET
| Measure | JVSTlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | KENNlast 13 games · 4 in 2026, 9 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd quarter points for | 11.5#15 of 136 | 6.0#116 of 136 | 8.5 |
| Red-zone touchdown rate allowed | 65.0%#17 of 136 | 53.5%#87 of 136 | 55.8% |
| Red-zone trips per game | 3.92#34 of 136 | 3.31#82 of 136 | 3.51 |
| Plays faced per game | 63.5#87 of 136 | 65.8#51 of 136 | 64.7 |
| Plays per game | 64.5#86 of 136 | 66.5#53 of 136 | 65.4 |
| 4th quarter points against | 6.0#82 of 136 | 6.8#50 of 136 | 6.4 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Sep 2026; 4–5 in 2026, 8–9 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
NMSU at FIUWed 7:30 PM ET
| Measure | NMSUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | FIUlast 13 games · 4 in 2026, 9 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points for | 3.2#129 of 136 | 6.5#54 of 136 | 6.1 |
| Red-zone touchdown rate allowed | 55.8%#69 of 136 | 43.2%#127 of 136 | 55.8% |
| Red-zone trips per game | 3.38#76 of 136 | 4.15#24 of 136 | 3.51 |
| 3rd quarter points against | 6.8#32 of 136 | 5.1#79 of 136 | 5.4 |
| Plays per game | 65.0#79 of 136 | 67.8#36 of 136 | 65.4 |
| Dropback rate | 53.6%#28 of 136 | 49.1%#66 of 136 | 48.4% |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 4–5 in 2026, 8–9 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
SHSU at LIBThu 7:00 PM ET
| Measure | SHSUlast 13 games · 4 in 2026, 9 in 2025 | LIBlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dropback rate | 56.4%#10 of 136 | 37.2%#129 of 136 | 48.4% |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 13.9#129 of 137 | 37.2#25 of 137 | 27.7 |
| 1st quarter points against | 7.3#18 of 136 | 3.6#112 of 136 | 5.3 |
| Red-zone trips per game | 2.54#121 of 136 | 4.00#28 of 136 | 3.51 |
| Red-zone trips allowed per game | 4.08#16 of 136 | 2.85#100 of 136 | 3.26 |
| Plays per game | 62.2#105 of 136 | 65.3#72 of 136 | 65.4 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 4–5 in 2026, 8–9 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
MOST at WKUThu 7:00 PM ET
| Measure | MOSTlast 13 games · 4 in 2026, 9 in 2025 | WKUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd quarter points against | 6.0#107 of 136 | 10.2#17 of 136 | 7.6 |
| Plays per game | 59.8#127 of 136 | 66.5#51 of 136 | 65.4 |
| 1st quarter points for | 6.3#58 of 136 | 3.8#118 of 136 | 6.1 |
| Red-zone trips per game | 3.77#48 of 136 | 3.08#101 of 136 | 3.51 |
| Red-zone touchdown rate allowed | 55.6%#70 of 136 | 50.0%#104 of 136 | 55.8% |
| Dropback rate | 52.0%#44 of 136 | 55.1%#20 of 136 | 48.4% |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 4–5 in 2026, 8–9 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
USF at UTSAThu 7:30 PM ET
| Measure | USFlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | UTSAlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red-zone touchdown rate | 74.5%#4 of 136 | 48.1%#118 of 136 | 57.9% |
| 3rd quarter points against | 2.0#130 of 136 | 7.1#29 of 136 | 5.4 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.4%#119 of 136 | 57.2%#26 of 136 | 52.4% |
| Dropback rate | 43.3%#111 of 136 | 51.7%#47 of 136 | 48.4% |
| Red-zone touchdown rate allowed | 35.7%#136 of 136 | 53.5%#87 of 136 | 55.8% |
| Plays per game | 67.5#39 of 136 | 64.3#87 of 136 | 65.4 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
USA at ARSTThu 7:30 PM ET
| Measure | USAlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | ARSTlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dropback rate | 39.3%#125 of 136 | 55.4%#17 of 136 | 48.4% |
| 3rd quarter points for | 7.4#28 of 136 | 4.2#117 of 136 | 6.0 |
| 3rd quarter points against | 7.8#10 of 136 | 4.8#89 of 136 | 5.4 |
| Red-zone touchdown rate | 56.0%#74 of 136 | 47.8%#121 of 136 | 57.9% |
| Plays faced per game | 61.9#106 of 136 | 65.5#60 of 136 | 64.7 |
| Red-zone trips allowed per game | 3.54#46 of 136 | 3.00#89 of 136 | 3.26 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
FSU at LOUFri 7:00 PM ET
| Measure | FSUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | LOUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points for | 4.0#114 of 136 | 7.4#39 of 136 | 6.1 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −12.8#106 of 137 | +12.6#51 of 137 | +2.5 |
| Red-zone trips per game | 3.69#55 of 136 | 3.00#105 of 136 | 3.51 |
| Dropback rate | 45.8%#97 of 136 | 50.2%#58 of 136 | 48.4% |
| Plays faced per game | 65.7#55 of 136 | 67.8#25 of 136 | 64.7 |
| Red-zone trips allowed per game | 3.23#70 of 136 | 3.00#89 of 136 | 3.26 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
IOWA at WASHFri 9:00 PM ET
| Measure | IOWAlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | WASHlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points for | 9.1#13 of 136 | 3.7#119 of 136 | 6.1 |
| Red-zone trips per game | 3.15#91 of 136 | 4.31#15 of 136 | 3.51 |
| Dropback rate | 44.3%#105 of 136 | 53.4%#31 of 136 | 48.4% |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 54.5%#37 of 136 | 46.3%#110 of 136 | 51.3% |
| Red-zone touchdown rate | 65.9%#35 of 136 | 53.6%#92 of 136 | 57.9% |
| Plays faced per game | 60.6#120 of 136 | 64.9#67 of 136 | 64.7 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
WSU at USUFri 9:00 PM ET
| Measure | WSUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | USUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 7.5#130 of 136 | 16.9#15 of 136 | 13.0 |
| Plays faced per game | 61.5#109 of 136 | 71.7#8 of 136 | 64.7 |
| Red-zone trips allowed per game | 2.77#107 of 136 | 3.62#36 of 136 | 3.26 |
| Plays per game | 60.7#121 of 136 | 65.4#68 of 136 | 65.4 |
| 1st quarter points for | 4.5#99 of 136 | 6.3#58 of 136 | 6.1 |
| Red-zone trips per game | 2.54#121 of 136 | 3.15#91 of 136 | 3.51 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
WYO at SJSUFri 9:00 PM ET
| Measure | WYOlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | SJSUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 61.6%#4 of 136 | 41.4%#128 of 136 | 51.3% |
| Plays per game | 59.9#125 of 136 | 68.6#27 of 136 | 65.4 |
| 2nd quarter points for | 3.2#135 of 136 | 8.8#57 of 136 | 8.5 |
| Red-zone touchdown rate | 41.4%#131 of 136 | 58.3%#64 of 136 | 57.9% |
| Dropback rate | 51.1%#52 of 136 | 57.2%#9 of 136 | 48.4% |
| Red-zone trips allowed per game | 2.92#94 of 136 | 3.38#58 of 136 | 3.26 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
ISU at BYUFri 10:15 PM ET
| Measure | ISUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | BYUlast 13 games · 4 in 2026, 9 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 20.0#94 of 137 | 39.7#18 of 137 | 27.7 |
| Red-zone trips allowed per game | 2.92#94 of 136 | 3.69#30 of 136 | 3.26 |
| 3rd quarter points against | 5.8#55 of 136 | 3.2#117 of 136 | 5.4 |
| Red-zone touchdown rate allowed | 55.3%#74 of 136 | 39.6%#133 of 136 | 55.8% |
| Plays faced per game | 62.2#100 of 136 | 64.4#73 of 136 | 64.7 |
| Plays per game | 66.4#58 of 136 | 64.9#82 of 136 | 65.4 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 4–5 in 2026, 8–9 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
IU at NEBSat 12:00 PM ET
| Measure | IUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | NEBlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red-zone touchdown rate allowed | 41.7%#129 of 136 | 65.8%#11 of 136 | 55.8% |
| 3rd quarter points for | 12.0#1 of 136 | 4.3#111 of 136 | 6.0 |
| 3rd quarter points against | 3.1#120 of 136 | 6.4#46 of 136 | 5.4 |
| Red-zone trips per game | 4.54#9 of 136 | 3.69#55 of 136 | 3.51 |
| Dropback rate | 41.8%#120 of 136 | 46.1%#92 of 136 | 48.4% |
The 5 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
TA&M at MIZSat 12:00 PM ET
| Measure | TA&Mlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | MIZlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays faced per game | 56.8#133 of 136 | 65.0#65 of 136 | 64.7 |
| Red-zone touchdown rate | 66.7%#27 of 136 | 54.0%#89 of 136 | 57.9% |
| 2nd quarter points for | 7.3#91 of 136 | 9.8#38 of 136 | 8.5 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.5%#93 of 136 | 53.8%#45 of 136 | 51.3% |
| Red-zone trips per game | 4.85#3 of 136 | 3.85#42 of 136 | 3.51 |
The 5 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
ARIZ at WVUSat 12:00 PM ET
| Measure | ARIZlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | WVUlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 7.8#128 of 136 | 16.2#11 of 136 | 12.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +8.8#17 of 137 | −6.7#127 of 137 | +2.5 |
The 2 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
UCF at OKSTSat 12:00 PM ET
| Measure | UCFlast 13 games · 5 in 2026, 8 in 2025 | OKSTlast 13 games · 4 in 2026, 9 in 2025 | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 9.3#116 of 136 | 14.2#37 of 136 | 12.2 |
| 1st quarter points for | 6.9#44 of 136 | 4.4#104 of 136 | 6.1 |
| Plays per game | 62.4#102 of 136 | 66.5#53 of 136 | 65.4 |
| Plays faced per game | 67.7#28 of 136 | 64.8#68 of 136 | 64.7 |
| Red-zone touchdown rate | 56.4%#71 of 136 | 52.8%#95 of 136 | 57.9% |
| Red-zone trips allowed per game | 3.46#53 of 136 | 3.23#70 of 136 | 3.26 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 137 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Sep 2025 – Oct 2026; 4–5 in 2026, 8–9 in 2025). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
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How a trend makes the list
- 1For every posted prop priced on both sides, the player's own games are split by the situations tonight really has: recent form, this season, home or road, this opponent, rest and so on (each sport's insights page lists them).
- 2Each split is compared with the books' no-vig chance of the same side, not with 50%. Only props the books price between 20% and 80% are tested.
- 3A split makes the list only if, from at least 5 games, the 99% range for the player's true rate does not include that chance. A situation that covers 90% or more of his games is his whole history under another name and is not tested.
- 4Splits are ranked by the gap after pulling his rate toward the price, with one card a prop (its strongest split; a second split on the same side is a line under it) and at most three a player. Read it as a place to look: the books may know about a role change, an injury or a matchup the history does not, and some of the list is luck by construction.
Soccer has no player prop insights: its props (anytime goal, anytime assist, shots on target) are yes-only, so there is no number and no under, and no two-way price to compare a player's history with. UFC has none either: it has fight lines, not player props. Both sports still have their own game pages and boards.
Player props across every sport →College football prop insights, with the full method →Line shopping →
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Questions and answers
- What are player prop trends?
- Spots where a player's own games, in the situations tonight's game really has, sit far from the sportsbooks' own price for the same prop. They are history set against the market, shown with the sample size, a 90% range and the books' no-vig chance. They are not picks and no record of them is kept.
- How does a trend make the list?
- Every split of a player's games (home or road, this opponent, rest and so on) is compared with the books' no-vig chance of the same side. It stays only if, from at least 5 games, the 99% range for his true rate does not include that chance. The list is then ranked by the gap, with one card a prop (its strongest split; a second split on the same side is a line under it) and at most three a player.
- How many College football trends are luck?
- Testing many splits at a strict bar still lets some through by chance. Right now, College football: 8 checked, 0 cleared, about 0.0 by luck. Treat the list as places to look, not as findings.
- What is free and what is Pro here?
- Every sport's top-ranked trend and every team trend are free. The rest of each sport's list is part of Pro. The props boards, the player pages and the team trends stay free.
- Are there trends for soccer or UFC?
- Soccer has no player prop insights: its props (anytime goal, anytime assist, shots on target) are yes-only, so there is no number and no under, and no two-way price to compare a player's history with. UFC has none either: it has fight lines, not player props. Both sports still have their own game pages and boards.
Lines come from regulated US sportsbooks and can lag what a book shows right now. Each game is measured against tonight's line, not the number that game actually had. Trends describe past games, none of them is a recommendation, and no record of them is kept. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.