Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Texas A&M Aggies

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1810 · #10 of 240 · 50.0 for, 0.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs ASU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

18101500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
2.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+20.9
SP+ (2025)
+20.7
Talent composite
933
Returning production
73%

How they play

Pass rate
47%
Standard-down share
71%
Plays / game
65
Possession / game
32:30

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#4 · 0.7%
Havoc rate faced
#5 · 11.1%
Standard-down PPA
#16 · +0.23
Yards / pass attempt
#24 · 8.3
Turnovers / game
#93 · 1.46
Rush explosiveness
#83 · 0.93
Completion %
#82 · 61%
Passing-down PPA
#74 · +0.28

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Third-down conversion
#1 · 22%
Havoc rate
#4 · 21.4%
Pass success rate
#5 · 33%
Rush success rate
#9 · 36%
Rush explosiveness
#135 · 1.29
Takeaways / game
#121 · 0.77
Power success
#98 · 75%
Points / scoring opportunity
#95 · 3.91
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsMissouri State BearsW 50–0-38.5TA&M 95%loss+2.0
Sep 12W2vsArizona State Sun Devils-14.5TA&M 80%
Sep 19W3vsKentucky Wildcats
Sep 26W4at#11 LSU Tigers+3
Oct 3W5vsArkansas Razorbacks
Oct 10W6at#25 Missouri Tigers
Oct 17W7vsThe Citadel Bulldogs
Oct 24W8at#13 Alabama Crimson Tide+2.5
Nov 7W10atSouth Carolina Gamecocks
Nov 14W11vs#20 Tennessee Volunteers-8.5
Nov 21W12at#10 Oklahoma Sooners+2.5
Nov 27W13vs#5 Texas Longhorns+2.5

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.