New York Jets
2026: 3-14 (last season) · Elo 1361 · #30 of 32 · 17.6 for, 29.6 against · ATS 7-10
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 61%
- Early-down pass rate
- 56%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 46%
- Pass rate over expected
- −8.8%
- Seconds per play
- 28.7
- No-huddle
- 10%
- Shotgun
- 74%
- Play-action rate
- 18%
- RPO rate
- 9%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Explosive rush rate
- #15 · 9.9%
- Yards / rush
- #15 · 4.3
- Rush success rate
- #17 · 41%
- Turnovers / game
- #22 · 1.24
- Yards / dropback
- #32 · 4.6
- Explosive pass rate
- #32 · 4.6%
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #31 · 45%
- Completion % over expected
- #31 · −4.1
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Third-down conversion
- #10 · 38%
- Rush success rate
- #18 · 42%
- Yards / rush
- #20 · 4.4
- Completion % over expected
- #21 · +1.5
- Takeaways / game
- #32 · 0.18
- Interceptions forced
- #32 · 0.0%
- EPA / dropback
- #32 · +0.29
- Explosive pass rate
- #31 · 10.4%
New York Jets · key players
- Justin Fields QB14.2/22.7 · 140 yds/g · 7-1 TD-INT · −0.10 EPA/db
- Mason Taylor TE5.0 tgt/g · 17% share · 28 yds/g · 1 TD · aDOT 5.8
- Garrett Wilson WR8.4 tgt/g · 35% share · 56 yds/g · 4 TD · aDOT 9.1
- Adonai Mitchell WR7.3 tgt/g · 24% share · 38 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 14.6
- John Metchie III WR4.9 tgt/g · 17% share · 28 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 6.0
- Breece Hall RBQuestionable15.2 car/g · 67 yds/g · 4.4 ypc · 4 TD · −0.09 EPA/car
- Isaiah Davis RBQuestionable2.9 car/g · 16 yds/g · 5.5 ypc · 1 TD · −0.08 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | at Tennessee Titans | — | +1.5 | TEN 57% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | vs Green Bay Packers | — | +5.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | at Detroit Lions | — | +9.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | at Chicago Bears | — | +8.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | vs Cleveland Browns | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | at New England Patriots | — | +9.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | vs Miami Dolphins | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | at Kansas City Chiefs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | vs Buffalo Bills | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | at Los Angeles Chargers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | atMiami Dolphins | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vs Denver Broncos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | at Arizona Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | vsNew England Patriots | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | vs Minnesota Vikings | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | atBuffalo Bills | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.