Minnesota Vikings
2026: 9-8 (last season) · Elo 1549 · #11 of 32 · 20.2 for, 19.6 against · ATS 9-8
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 61%
- Early-down pass rate
- 55%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 54%
- Pass rate over expected
- −1.2%
- Seconds per play
- 30.7
- No-huddle
- 8%
- Shotgun
- 56%
- Play-action rate
- 26%
- RPO rate
- 5%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Explosive rush rate
- #4 · 11.7%
- Rush success rate
- #8 · 44%
- Yards / rush
- #11 · 4.4
- YAC / completion
- #15 · 5.1
- Turnovers / game
- #32 · 1.65
- Interception rate
- #32 · 4.3%
- Third-down conversion
- #31 · 32%
- Sack rate
- #31 · 10.5%
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Explosive pass rate
- #1 · 6.1%
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #1 · 43%
- EPA / dropback
- #2 · −0.12
- Pass success rate
- #3 · 40%
- YAC / completion
- #22 · 5.3
- Rush success rate
- #21 · 42%
- Interceptions forced
- #21 · 1.8%
- Takeaways / game
- #16 · 1.18
Minnesota Vikings · key players
- J.J. McCarthy QB14.0/24.3 · 163 yds/g · 11-12 TD-INT · −0.20 EPA/db
- Justin Jefferson WR8.3 tgt/g · 31% share · 62 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 10.2
- Jordan Addison WR5.6 tgt/g · 18% share · 44 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 13.7
- T.J. Hockenson TE4.4 tgt/g · 16% share · 29 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 5.0
- Jalen Nailor WR3.1 tgt/g · 12% share · 26 yds/g · 4 TD · aDOT 12.4
- Jordan Mason RB9.9 car/g · 47 yds/g · 4.8 ypc · 6 TD · −0.04 EPA/car
- Aaron Jones RB11.0 car/g · 46 yds/g · 4.2 ypc · 2 TD · −0.02 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | vs Green Bay Packers | — | -1.5 | MIN 65% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at Chicago Bears | — | +3.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | vs Miami Dolphins | — | -7.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | at New Orleans Saints | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | vs Indianapolis Colts | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | at Detroit Lions | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 9W9 | vs Buffalo Bills | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | atGreen Bay Packers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | vs San Francisco 49ers | — | +4.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | vs Atlanta Falcons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | vs Carolina Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 10W14 | at New England Patriots | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | vsDetroit Lions | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | vs Washington Commanders | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | at New York Jets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | vsChicago Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.