Chicago Bears
2026: 12-7 (last season) · Elo 1527 · #14 of 32 · 25.7 for, 24.3 against · ATS 11-7-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 59%
- Early-down pass rate
- 55%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 54%
- Pass rate over expected
- −4.1%
- Seconds per play
- 28.6
- No-huddle
- 5%
- Shotgun
- 53%
- Play-action rate
- 30%
- RPO rate
- 5%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Sack rate
- #1 · 3.4%
- Rush success rate
- #3 · 46%
- Turnovers / game
- #4 · 0.84
- EPA / rush
- #6 · −0.00
- Completion % over expected
- #30 · −3.9
- Pass success rate
- #18 · 45%
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #15 · 57%
- Explosive rush rate
- #11 · 11.0%
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Takeaways / game
- #1 · 1.74
- Interceptions forced
- #2 · 3.7%
- YAC / completion
- #14 · 4.9
- Third-down conversion
- #16 · 40%
- Explosive pass rate
- #32 · 10.6%
- Yards / rush
- #29 · 4.7
- Completion % over expected
- #29 · +2.9
- Yards / dropback
- #27 · 6.8
Chicago Bears · key players
- Caleb Williams QB19.8/34.6 · 240 yds/g · 31-12 TD-INT · +0.08 EPA/db
- Colston Loveland TE5.9 tgt/g · 18% share · 50 yds/g · 6 TD · aDOT 9.9
- Rome Odunze WRQuestionable7.3 tgt/g · 22% share · 54 yds/g · 6 TD · aDOT 14.4
- DJ Moore WR5.3 tgt/g · 16% share · 42 yds/g · 8 TD · aDOT 11.2
- Luther Burden III WRQuestionable4.4 tgt/g · 13% share · 42 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 8.1
- D'Andre Swift RBQuestionable14.2 car/g · 68 yds/g · 4.8 ypc · 10 TD · +0.05 EPA/car
- Kyle Monangai RBQuestionable10.0 car/g · 45 yds/g · 4.5 ypc · 5 TD · −0.02 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | at Carolina Panthers | — | -2.75 | CHI 58% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | vs Minnesota Vikings | — | -3.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 28W3 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | vs New York Jets | — | -8.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | at Green Bay Packers | — | +3 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | at Atlanta Falcons | — | -3 | — | — | — |
| Oct 22W7 | vs New England Patriots | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 2W8 | at Seattle Seahawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | vs New Orleans Saints | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 26W12 | at Detroit Lions | — | +2.5 | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | at Miami Dolphins | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 19W15 | at Buffalo Bills | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 25W16 | vsGreen Bay Packers | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | vsDetroit Lions | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | atMinnesota Vikings | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.