Florida State Seminoles
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1590 · #50 of 240 · 34.0 for, 17.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +9.1
- SP+ (2025)
- +7.2
- Talent composite
- 800
- Returning production
- 40%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 44%
- Standard-down share
- 69%
- Plays / game
- 62
- Possession / game
- 28:46
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #5 · 1.85
- Stuff rate
- #5 · 13%
- Line yards / rush
- #7 · 3.40
- Third-down conversion
- #8 · 51%
- Turnovers / game
- #105 · 1.58
- Interception rate
- #105 · 3.5%
- Completion %
- #99 · 59%
- Pass success rate
- #79 · 41%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush explosiveness
- #18 · 0.86
- Yards / rush
- #28 · 3.6
- Interceptions forced
- #49 · 2.8%
- Pass explosiveness
- #57 · 1.54
- Stuff rate forced
- #119 · 15%
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #110 · 4.12
- Line yards / rush
- #105 · 3.12
- Power success
- #104 · 76%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29W1 | vs New Mexico State Aggies | W 34–17 | -31.5 | FSU 88% | — | — |
| Sep 7W1 | vs #19 SMU Mustangs | — | +3 | SMU 58% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at #13 Alabama Crimson Tide | — | +15.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Central Arkansas Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs Virginia Cavaliers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 9W6 | at #24 Louisville Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at #7 Miami Hurricanes | — | +16.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vs Clemson Tigers | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at Boston College Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 13W11 | at Pittsburgh Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs NC State Wolfpack | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 27W13 | vs Florida Gators | — | +4.5 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.