Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Arkansas Razorbacks

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1507 · #78 of 240 · 31.0 for, 14.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: at UTAH · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15071500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts

How they play

Pass rate
51%
Standard-down share
69%
Plays / game
60
Possession / game
29:01

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush success rate
#1 · 54%
Rushing PPA / play
#4 · +0.30
Yards / rush
#5 · 5.7
Passing-down PPA
#5 · +0.58
Turnovers / game
#114 · 1.67
Power success
#105 · 65%
Havoc rate faced
#101 · 16.9%
Stuff rate
#92 · 20%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#31 · 3.2%
Rush explosiveness
#60 · 0.95
Stuff rate forced
#63 · 19%
Power success
#67 · 71%
Rush success rate
#131 · 50%
Passing PPA / play
#131 · +0.44
Passing-down PPA
#128 · +0.44
Yards / pass attempt
#125 · 8.5
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsNorth Alabama LionsW 31–14-40.5ARK 58%win0.0
Sep 12W2at#21 Utah Utes+10.5UTAH 90%
Sep 19W3vs#3 Georgia Bulldogs
Sep 26W4vsTulsa Golden Hurricane
Oct 3W5at#8 Texas A&M Aggies
Oct 10W6vs#20 Tennessee Volunteers
Oct 17W7atVanderbilt Commodores
Oct 31W9vs#25 Missouri Tigers
Nov 7W10atAuburn Tigers
Nov 14W11vsSouth Carolina Gamecocks
Nov 21W12at#5 Texas Longhorns
Nov 28W13vs#11 LSU Tigers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.