New Mexico State Aggies
2026: 1-1 · Elo 1261 · #231 of 240 · 34.0 for, 24.0 against · ATS 2-0
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
- Winner calls
- 0/1
- Against the spread
- 0-1
- Avg CLV
- 1.00 pts
- SP+ (2026)
- -18.5
- SP+ (2025)
- -15.5
- Talent composite
- 460
- Returning production
- 24%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 59%
- Standard-down share
- 64%
- Plays / game
- 68
- Possession / game
- 30:06
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Third-down conversion
- #45 · 42%
- Interception rate
- #87 · 3.2%
- Rush explosiveness
- #88 · 0.91
- Power success
- #89 · 69%
- Yards / rush
- #135 · 2.6
- Rush success rate
- #134 · 33%
- Rushing PPA / play
- #134 · −0.09
- Stuff rate
- #133 · 26%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Interceptions forced
- #10 · 3.9%
- Takeaways / game
- #11 · 1.92
- Rushing PPA / play
- #15 · +0.00
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #34 · 3.29
- Pass success rate
- #108 · 44%
- Third-down conversion
- #95 · 41%
- Completion %
- #95 · 64%
- Line yards / rush
- #90 · 2.99
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29W1 | at Florida State Seminoles | L 17–34 | +31.5 | FSU 88% | — | — |
| Sep 5W1 | vs Mercyhurst Lakers | W 51–14 | -28.5 | MERC 72%✗ | loss | +1.0 |
| Sep 12W2 | at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | — | +11.5 | HAW 82% | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs New Mexico Lobos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 1W5 | vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 7W6 | at Florida International Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 21W8 | at Sam Houston Bearkats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 28W9 | vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs Liberty Flames | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | at Missouri State Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs Delaware Blue Hens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 2 played.