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Middle Tennessee (4-3) hosts New Mexico State (3-4) at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium on Nov 28, 2026, 2:00 PM ET.
Lines post about a week before the game.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NMSU end zone ← 100 yards → MTSU end zone
A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 137). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.
NMSU has the clear advantage in havoc; MTSU's defense has it in passing and turnovers.
MTSU has the clear advantage in turnovers; NMSU's defense has it in passing and third-down conversion.
NMSU offensevs
MTSU defenseNMSU offense ranks better in 3 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MTSU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
MTSU offensevsNMSU defenseMTSU offense ranks better in 3 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NMSU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 137 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
Book-by-book prices appear about a week before the game.
Not enough line history yet: the charts appear once the books have posted this game's numbers more than once.
They have met every season in our history.
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 138 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 7 in 2026, 6 in 2025). A longer bar = higher in the league (rank 1 = highest, even for points allowed). A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
