Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Los Angeles Rams

2026: 14-6 (last season) · Elo 1602 · #3 of 32 · 29.9 for, 21.3 against · ATS 12-8

Next: vs SF · Sep 10

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16021500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

How they play

Pass rate
60%
Early-down pass rate
55%
Neutral-script pass rate
60%
Pass rate over expected
+2.5%
Seconds per play
29.1
No-huddle
7%
Shotgun
42%
Play-action rate
32%
RPO rate
0%

Offense · best and worst (of 32)

Explosive pass rate
#1 · 11.5%
Interception rate
#1 · 1.3%
Rush success rate
#1 · 50%
EPA / dropback
#2 · +0.22
Third-down conversion
#23 · 38%
YAC / completion
#23 · 4.9
Completion % over expected
#15 · +0.7
Red-zone touchdown rate
#7 · 64%

Defense · best and worst (of 32)

Explosive rush rate
#5 · 7.6%
Takeaways / game
#6 · 1.50
YAC / completion
#7 · 4.7
EPA / rush
#7 · −0.09
Explosive pass rate
#16 · 8.0%
Yards / dropback
#14 · 6.1
Pass success rate
#14 · 45%
Sack rate generated
#13 · 6.6%

Los Angeles Rams · key players

  • Matthew Stafford QB22.7/35.8 · 282 yds/g · 52-9 TD-INT · +0.23 EPA/db
  • Puka Nacua WRQuestionable10.9 tgt/g · 31% share · 108 yds/g · 12 TD · aDOT 10.1
  • Davante Adams WR8.2 tgt/g · 24% share · 57 yds/g · 15 TD · aDOT 13.2
  • Colby Parkinson TE4.1 tgt/g · 12% share · 33 yds/g · 9 TD · aDOT 5.1
  • Tyler Higbee TE3.5 tgt/g · 10% share · 30 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 6.9
  • Kyren Williams RB15.2 car/g · 72 yds/g · 4.7 ypc · 12 TD · +0.03 EPA/car
  • Blake Corum RB8.6 car/g · 43 yds/g · 5.1 ypc · 6 TD · +0.08 EPA/car

2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.

2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 10W1vsSan Francisco 49ers-3.5LAR 59%
Sep 21W2vsNew York Giants-8.5
Sep 27W3atDenver Broncos-3
Oct 4W4atPhiladelphia Eagles-1.5
Oct 12W5vsBuffalo Bills-3
Oct 18W6vsArizona Cardinals-13.5
Oct 25W7atLas Vegas Raiders
Nov 1W8vsLos Angeles Chargers
Nov 8W9atWashington Commanders
Nov 15W10atArizona Cardinals
Nov 25W12vsGreen Bay Packers-5.5
Dec 3W13vsKansas City Chiefs
Dec 13W14atSan Francisco 49ers
Dec 20W15vsDallas Cowboys
Dec 25W16atSeattle Seahawks-1.5
Jan 3W17atTampa Bay Buccaneers
Jan 10W18vsSeattle Seahawks

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.