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Arizona (2-5) hosts Los Angeles (3-4) at State Farm Stadium on Nov 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET.
Lines post about a week before the game.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 32). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.
LAR has the clear advantage in red-zone touchdown rate, passing, sacks and third-down conversion; ARI's defense has it in turnovers.
ARI has the clear advantage in sacks and turnovers; LAR's defense has it in rushing, passing, third-down conversion and red-zone touchdown rate.
LAR offensevs
ARI defenseLAR offense ranks better in 4 of 6 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · ARI defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
ARI offensevsLAR defenseARI offense ranks better in 2 of 6 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LAR defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
242 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings soft
ARI pressures on 26% of dropbacks (#28 of 32); he completes 34% under pressure (league 34%).
120 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Mixed: lots of yards allowed, but stingy per play this season
140 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
His routes (Hitch / curl 16%, Screen 13%, In / dig 12%): ARI allowed 8.1 yds a target, league 7.8.
Same ARI readings against WRs as above.
His routes (Hitch / curl 18%, Go 17%, In / dig 12%): ARI allowed 8.4 yds a target, league 8.2.
64.9 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings soft
His routes (Quick out 32%, Hitch / curl 13%, Screen 13%): ARI allowed 7.4 yds a target, league 7.2.
221 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
LAR pressures on 33% of dropbacks (#5 of 32); he completes 36% under pressure (league 34%).
92.5 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
138 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
His routes (Hitch / curl 19%, Go 15%, In / dig 13%): LAR allowed 8.1 yds a target, league 8.1.
Same LAR readings against WRs as above.
His routes (Hitch / curl 18%, Quick out 14%, In / dig 13%): LAR allowed 8.0 yds a target, league 8.0.
40.8 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings tough
His routes (Quick out 24%, Hitch / curl 18%, Screen 13%): LAR allowed 7.2 yds a target, league 7.1.
Players: this season's attempts, carries and targets (last season before a team's first game); anyone ruled out on the injury report is left off. Routes are where his targets came from over 2024–25, each route's yards shrunk toward the league's. Books already price these matchups.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores (early in a season that reaches back into last season; each row shows how many of its games are from each season), against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
Where a player's own strength meets something tonight's opponent gives up more than most, measured against the league. Matchups like these were tested as inputs for player props and added nothing the books' lines do not already reflect: research, not a pick.
Lines from regulated US sportsbooks; the fair chance is the books' own, with their margin taken out.
Los Angeles Rams6 listedArizona Cardinals9 listedTimes are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
The referee is posted closer to kickoff.
Book-by-book prices appear about a week before the game.
Not enough line history yet: the charts appear once the books have posted this game's numbers more than once.
Division rivals — they meet twice every season.
Los Angeles RamsArizona CardinalsLines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.
The 5 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 32 ranked teams, over each team's last 17 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Oct 2026; 7 in 2026, 10 in 2025). A longer bar = higher in the league (rank 1 = highest, even for points allowed). A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.