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Los Angeles (3-4) hosts Los Angeles (0-6) at SoFi Stadium on Nov 1, 2026, 4:05 PM ET.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LAC end zone ← 100 yards → LAR end zone
Wind is the direction it blows from. Halftime is about 1 hour 36 minutes in and the end about 3 hours 18 minutes in: a forecast, not a result.
A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 32). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.
LAR's defense has it in red-zone touchdown rate, rushing, third-down conversion and passing.
LAR has the clear advantage in sacks and rushing; LAC's defense has it in passing and turnovers.
LAC offensevs
LAR defenseLAC offense ranks better in 0 of 6 matchups · LAR defense in 6 (4 by a clear margin)
LAR offensevsLAC defenseLAR offense ranks better in 3 of 6 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LAC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
221 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
LAR pressures on 33% of dropbacks (#5 of 32); he completes 35% under pressure (league 34%).
92.5 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
138 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
His routes (Hitch / curl 15%, Slant 15%, In / dig 15%): LAR allowed 7.9 yds a target, league 7.9.
Same LAR readings against WRs as above.
His routes (Go 18%, Hitch / curl 18%, Quick out 11%): LAR allowed 8.0 yds a target, league 8.0.
40.8 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings tough
His routes (Hitch / curl 25%, Quick out 15%, Post 11%): LAR allowed 8.0 yds a target, league 8.0.
202 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (6 in 2026, 11 in 2025)
Both readings tough
LAC pressures on 31% of dropbacks (#12 of 32); he completes 34% under pressure (league 34%).
88.8 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (6 in 2026, 11 in 2025)
125 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (6 in 2026, 11 in 2025)
Both readings tough
His routes (Hitch / curl 16%, Screen 13%, In / dig 12%): LAC allowed 7.6 yds a target, league 7.8.
Same LAC readings against WRs as above.
His routes (Hitch / curl 18%, Go 17%, In / dig 12%): LAC allowed 8.0 yds a target, league 8.2.
50.8 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (6 in 2026, 11 in 2025)
His routes (Quick out 32%, Hitch / curl 13%, Screen 13%): LAC allowed 6.8 yds a target, league 7.2.
Players: this season's attempts, carries and targets (last season before a team's first game); anyone ruled out on the injury report is left off. Routes are where his targets came from over 2024–25, each route's yards shrunk toward the league's. Books already price these matchups.
LAC is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores (early in a season that reaches back into last season; each row shows how many of its games are from each season), against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
Where a player's own strength meets something tonight's opponent gives up more than most, measured against the league. Matchups like these were tested as inputs for player props and added nothing the books' lines do not already reflect: research, not a pick.
Lines from regulated US sportsbooks; the fair chance is the books' own, with their margin taken out.
Los Angeles Chargers11 listedLos Angeles Rams6 listedTimes are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
The referee is posted closer to kickoff.
| Book | LAR spread | Total | LAC ML | LAR ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM (opens BetMGM in a new tab) | -6.5(-110) | 45(-108/-110) | +240 | -300 |
| DraftKings (opens DraftKings in a new tab) | -6.5(-118) | 45.5(-105/-115) | +240 | -298 |
| FanDuel (opens FanDuel in a new tab) | -6.5(-115) | 44.5(-115/-105) | +240 | -295 |
| Hard Rock (opens Hard Rock in a new tab) | -6.5(-115) | 44.5(-115/-105) | +240 | -300 |
| Caesars (opens Caesars in a new tab) | -6.5(-115) | 45(-110/-109) | +250 | -310 |
Hover or tap a chart to read any hour; click to pin it.
Each line is the number most books post, a step at each hour a book changed one, since we first priced the game; the band is the lowest and highest number any book had up then (ring = first seen, dot = the latest pull). Spread: higher = the home side laying more. The moneyline is the home side's win chance with the books' margin removed.
Checking your plan for the alternate spreads and totals…
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (3 of the 15 seasons in our history).
Los Angeles ChargersLos Angeles RamsLines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 32 ranked teams, over each team's last 17 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 6–7 in 2026, 10–11 in 2025). A longer bar = higher in the league (rank 1 = highest, even for points allowed). A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.