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Los Angeles (3-4) hosts Green Bay (4-3) at SoFi Stadium on Nov 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 32). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.
GB has the clear advantage in sacks and turnovers; LAR's defense has it in passing, third-down conversion, rushing and red-zone touchdown rate.
LAR has the clear advantage in third-down conversion, red-zone touchdown rate and sacks; GB's defense has it in passing and turnovers.
GB offensevs
LAR defenseGB offense ranks better in 2 of 6 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LAR defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
LAR offensevsGB defenseLAR offense ranks better in 4 of 6 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · GB defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
221 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
LAR pressures on 33% of dropbacks (#5 of 32); he completes 31% under pressure (league 34%).
92.5 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
138 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
His routes (Hitch / curl 16%, Quick out 14%, Screen 12%): LAR allowed 7.9 yds a target, league 7.9.
Same LAR readings against WRs as above.
His routes (In / dig 17%, Go 17%, Post 15%): LAR allowed 8.6 yds a target, league 8.8.
40.8 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings tough
His routes (Quick out 38%, Hitch / curl 15%, Screen 14%): LAR allowed 6.9 yds a target, league 6.8.
219 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
GB pressures on 29% of dropbacks (#16 of 32); he completes 34% under pressure (league 34%).
107 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
144 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
His routes (Hitch / curl 16%, Screen 13%, In / dig 12%): GB allowed 7.7 yds a target, league 7.8.
Same GB readings against WRs as above.
His routes (Hitch / curl 18%, Go 17%, In / dig 12%): GB allowed 8.1 yds a target, league 8.2.
42.5 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings tough
His routes (Quick out 32%, Hitch / curl 13%, Screen 13%): GB allowed 7.0 yds a target, league 7.2.
Players: this season's attempts, carries and targets (last season before a team's first game); anyone ruled out on the injury report is left off. Routes are where his targets came from over 2024–25, each route's yards shrunk toward the league's. Books already price these matchups.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores (early in a season that reaches back into last season; each row shows how many of its games are from each season), against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
Where a player's own strength meets something tonight's opponent gives up more than most, measured against the league. Matchups like these were tested as inputs for player props and added nothing the books' lines do not already reflect: research, not a pick.
Lines from regulated US sportsbooks; the fair chance is the books' own, with their margin taken out.
Green Bay Packers8 listedLos Angeles Rams6 listedTimes are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
The referee is posted closer to kickoff.
Book-by-book prices appear about a week before the game.
Not enough line history yet: the charts appear once the books have posted this game's numbers more than once.
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (8 of the 15 seasons in our history). GB have won the last 5.
Green Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsLines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 32 ranked teams, over each team's last 17 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Oct 2026; 7 in 2026, 10 in 2025). A longer bar = higher in the league (rank 1 = highest, even for points allowed). A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.