Jacksonville Jaguars
2026: 13-5 (last season) · Elo 1564 · #7 of 32 · 27.7 for, 20.2 against · ATS 12-6
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 60%
- Early-down pass rate
- 57%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 59%
- Pass rate over expected
- +1.7%
- Seconds per play
- 29.9
- No-huddle
- 7%
- Shotgun
- 61%
- Play-action rate
- 22%
- RPO rate
- 5%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #8 · 63%
- Explosive pass rate
- #9 · 9.0%
- EPA / dropback
- #10 · +0.08
- Pass success rate
- #11 · 47%
- YAC / completion
- #25 · 4.8
- Completion % over expected
- #24 · −1.9
- Yards / rush
- #23 · 4.0
- Explosive rush rate
- #23 · 8.7%
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- YAC / completion
- #1 · 4.3
- Takeaways / game
- #3 · 1.61
- EPA / dropback
- #4 · −0.09
- Interceptions forced
- #4 · 3.3%
- Sack rate generated
- #30 · 4.5%
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #24 · 62%
- Third-down conversion
- #21 · 41%
- EPA / rush
- #16 · −0.07
Jacksonville Jaguars · key players
- Trevor Lawrence QB19.9/32.8 · 234 yds/g · 32-14 TD-INT · +0.06 EPA/db
- Parker Washington WR6.7 tgt/g · 21% share · 60 yds/g · 6 TD · aDOT 12.5
- Brian Thomas Jr. WR6.2 tgt/g · 18% share · 49 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 14.4
- Brenton Strange TE5.0 tgt/g · 16% share · 42 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 7.2
- Jakobi Meyers WRQuestionable6.5 tgt/g · 22% share · 50 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 9.5
- Travis Etienne RB15.0 car/g · 65 yds/g · 4.3 ypc · 7 TD · −0.06 EPA/car
- Bhayshul Tuten RBQuestionable5.4 car/g · 22 yds/g · 4.1 ypc · 5 TD · −0.08 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | vs Cleveland Browns | — | -8 | JAX 75% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at Denver Broncos | — | +3 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | vs New England Patriots | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | at Cincinnati Bengals | — | +2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | vs Houston Texans | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | vs Indianapolis Colts | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 5W9 | at Baltimore Ravens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | at Tennessee Titans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | at New York Giants | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | vsTennessee Titans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | at Chicago Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 14W14 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | atHouston Texans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | at Dallas Cowboys | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | vs Washington Commanders | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | atIndianapolis Colts | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.