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Jacksonville (4-2) hosts Tennessee (1-6) at EverBank Stadium on Nov 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET.
Lines post about a week before the game.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TEN end zone ← 100 yards → JAX end zone
A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 32). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.
TEN has the clear advantage in sacks; JAX's defense has it in passing, turnovers, rushing, third-down conversion and red-zone touchdown rate.
JAX has the clear advantage in passing, turnovers, rushing, third-down conversion and red-zone touchdown rate.
TEN offensevs
JAX defenseTEN offense ranks better in 1 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · JAX defense in 5 (5 by a clear margin)
JAX offensevsTEN defenseJAX offense ranks better in 5 of 6 matchups (5 by a clear margin) · TEN defense in 0 · 1 even
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
242 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (6 in 2026, 11 in 2025)
JAX pressures on 26% of dropbacks (#27 of 32); he completes 32% under pressure (league 34%).
59.9 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (6 in 2026, 11 in 2025)
Both readings tough
162 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (6 in 2026, 11 in 2025)
Same JAX readings against WRs as above.
His routes (Hitch / curl 25%, Quick out 19%, Screen 12%): JAX allowed 6.9 yds a target, league 7.2.
48.9 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (6 in 2026, 11 in 2025)
His routes (Hitch / curl 25%, Quick out 24%, Screen 11%): JAX allowed 6.8 yds a target, league 7.0.
258 a game, league 227 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings soft
TEN pressures on 31% of dropbacks (#10 of 32); he completes 37% under pressure (league 34%).
87.8 a game, league 96.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Mixed: few yards allowed, but leaky per play this season
173 a game, league 141 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
Both readings soft
His routes (Hitch / curl 20%, In / dig 15%, Deep out 15%): TEN allowed 8.5 yds a target, league 8.2.
Same TEN readings against WRs as above.
His routes (Hitch / curl 21%, Quick out 17%, In / dig 13%): TEN allowed 8.0 yds a target, league 7.8.
54.1 a game, league 54.0 · last 17 games (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025)
His routes (Quick out 25%, Hitch / curl 21%, Shallow cross 17%): TEN allowed 7.3 yds a target, league 7.2.
Players: this season's attempts, carries and targets (last season before a team's first game); anyone ruled out on the injury report is left off. Routes are where his targets came from over 2024–25, each route's yards shrunk toward the league's. Books already price these matchups.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores (early in a season that reaches back into last season; each row shows how many of its games are from each season), against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
Where a player's own strength meets something tonight's opponent gives up more than most, measured against the league. Matchups like these were tested as inputs for player props and added nothing the books' lines do not already reflect: research, not a pick.
Lines from regulated US sportsbooks; the fair chance is the books' own, with their margin taken out.
Tennessee Titans4 listedJacksonville Jaguars4 listedTimes are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
The referee is posted closer to kickoff.
Book-by-book prices appear about a week before the game.
Not enough line history yet: the charts appear once the books have posted this game's numbers more than once.
Division rivals — they meet twice every season. JAX have won the last 4.
Tennessee TitansJacksonville JaguarsLines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 32 ranked teams, over each team's last 17 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 6–7 in 2026, 10–11 in 2025). A longer bar = higher in the league (rank 1 = highest, even for points allowed). A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.