Green Bay Packers
2026: 9-8-1 (last season) · Elo 1526 · #15 of 32 · 23.2 for, 21.7 against · ATS 6-12
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 57%
- Early-down pass rate
- 51%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 52%
- Pass rate over expected
- −3.5%
- Seconds per play
- 30.0
- No-huddle
- 8%
- Shotgun
- 64%
- Play-action rate
- 25%
- RPO rate
- 10%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- EPA / dropback
- #1 · +0.26
- Completion % over expected
- #2 · +5.7
- Interception rate
- #2 · 1.3%
- Third-down conversion
- #2 · 48%
- EPA / rush
- #22 · −0.07
- Yards / rush
- #21 · 4.1
- YAC / completion
- #14 · 5.2
- Explosive rush rate
- #12 · 10.6%
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- YAC / completion
- #2 · 4.3
- Explosive rush rate
- #6 · 7.7%
- Yards / dropback
- #9 · 5.8
- Explosive pass rate
- #10 · 7.7%
- Rush success rate
- #27 · 44%
- Interceptions forced
- #27 · 1.5%
- Takeaways / game
- #26 · 0.83
- Sack rate generated
- #25 · 5.6%
Green Bay Packers · key players
- Jordan Love QB19.7/30.3 · 232 yds/g · 27-6 TD-INT · +0.25 EPA/db
- Romeo Doubs WR5.6 tgt/g · 19% share · 50 yds/g · 7 TD · aDOT 12.5
- Christian Watson WR5.6 tgt/g · 20% share · 59 yds/g · 7 TD · aDOT 17.2
- Matthew Golden WR3.3 tgt/g · 12% share · 30 yds/g · 1 TD · aDOT 12.7
- Dontayvion Wicks WR3.5 tgt/g · 13% share · 26 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 11.2
- Josh Jacobs RBOut15.8 car/g · 62 yds/g · 3.9 ypc · 13 TD · −0.08 EPA/car
- Emanuel Wilson RB7.4 car/g · 29 yds/g · 4.0 ypc · 3 TD · −0.06 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | at Minnesota Vikings | — | +1.5 | MIN 65% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at New York Jets | — | -5.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 24W3 | vs Atlanta Falcons | — | -7.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | vs Chicago Bears | — | -3 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | vs Dallas Cowboys | — | -3 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | at Detroit Lions | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 29W8 | vs Carolina Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | at New England Patriots | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | vsMinnesota Vikings | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 25W12 | at Los Angeles Rams | — | +5.5 | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | at New Orleans Saints | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vs Buffalo Bills | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | vs Miami Dolphins | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 25W16 | atChicago Bears | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Jan 4W17 | vs Houston Texans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | vsDetroit Lions | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.