Cincinnati Bengals
2026: 6-11 (last season) · Elo 1469 · #20 of 32 · 24.4 for, 28.9 against · ATS 8-9
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 66%
- Early-down pass rate
- 62%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 61%
- Pass rate over expected
- +1.7%
- Seconds per play
- 29.3
- No-huddle
- 3%
- Shotgun
- 82%
- Play-action rate
- 16%
- RPO rate
- 9%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #3 · 67%
- Rush success rate
- #4 · 45%
- EPA / rush
- #5 · +0.02
- Third-down conversion
- #5 · 44%
- Turnovers / game
- #30 · 1.41
- Interception rate
- #27 · 2.7%
- YAC / completion
- #27 · 4.7
- Explosive pass rate
- #27 · 6.8%
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Interceptions forced
- #12 · 2.4%
- Takeaways / game
- #12 · 1.24
- Completion % over expected
- #18 · +0.9
- Sack rate generated
- #23 · 5.8%
- YAC / completion
- #32 · 7.0
- Yards / rush
- #31 · 5.2
- EPA / rush
- #31 · +0.06
- Yards / dropback
- #29 · 7.1
Cincinnati Bengals · key players
- Joe Burrow QB21.6/32.4 · 226 yds/g · 17-5 TD-INT · +0.13 EPA/db
- Ja'Marr Chase WRQuestionable11.6 tgt/g · 32% share · 88 yds/g · 8 TD · aDOT 8.5
- Tee Higgins WRQuestionable6.5 tgt/g · 18% share · 56 yds/g · 11 TD · aDOT 13.4
- Andrei Iosivas WR3.9 tgt/g · 10% share · 29 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 10.4
- Mike Gesicki TE3.5 tgt/g · 10% share · 26 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 10.0
- Chase Brown RB13.6 car/g · 60 yds/g · 4.4 ypc · 6 TD · −0.02 EPA/car
- Samaje Perine RB6.0 car/g · 27 yds/g · 4.5 ypc · 3 TD · −0.00 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | -3.75 | CIN 60% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at Houston Texans | — | +2.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | at Pittsburgh Steelers | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | at Miami Dolphins | — | -6 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | at Baltimore Ravens | — | +3.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | vs Tennessee Titans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | vs Atlanta Falcons | — | -4.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | vsPittsburgh Steelers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 23W11 | at Washington Commanders | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | vs New Orleans Saints | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | at Cleveland Browns | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | at Carolina Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | at Indianapolis Colts | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 31W17 | vsBaltimore Ravens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | vsCleveland Browns | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.