Injury newsOne row per player: his latest change on the report as we saw it, and the statuses he went through. A timeline of the report, not a forecast.◷History
▲Brian Robinson Jr. RBUpgraded to Questionable from Out · HamstringQuestionable → Out → QuestionableStill listed26 h ago
▲Olamide Zaccheaus WRUpgraded to Questionable from Out · ShoulderQuestionable → Out → QuestionableStill listed26 h ago
▲Avieon Terrell CBUpgraded to Questionable from Out · BackQuestionable → Out → QuestionableStill listed26 h ago
▲Billy Bowman Jr. CBUpgraded to Questionable from Out · HamstringQuestionable → Out → QuestionableStill listed26 h ago
▲Divine Deablo LBUpgraded to Questionable from Out · ForearmQuestionable → Out → QuestionableStill listed26 h ago
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○Michael Jerrell OTOff the report (was Injured Reserve)Questionable → Out → Injured Reserve8 h ago
○Beaux Collins WROff the report (was Injured Reserve)8 h ago
○Cameron Williams OLOff the report (was Injured Reserve)40 h ago
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
ScheduleEvery game this season: results, upcoming kickoffs and spreads, and the model's locked call with its grade.
Props vs ATLEveryone's props against this defense and the result: green = over (or yes) hit, red = didn't. Final games only.
Player & date
Result
Line
Odds
Brock PurdyQB
SF @ ATL · 10/25
288✓
Over 241.5
-112
Caleb WilliamsQB
CHI @ ATL · 10/18
305✓
Over 231.5
-115
Tyler HuntleyQB
BAL @ ATL · 10/11
201✓
Over 178.5
-113
Tyler ShoughQB
ATL @ NO · 10/5
286✓
Over 260.5
-112
Jordan LoveQB
ATL @ GB · 9/24
312✓
Over 232.5
-112
Full stat sheetEvery measure for ATL: offense (left) and defense (right), with league rank of 32 (1 = best).◷History
2026 season
OffenseDefense
Passing
EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: the best single passing-efficiency number. Defense column: what it allows.
−0.10#26
+0.02#12
Pass success rate
43%#21
45%#14
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards.
8.9%#9
7.5%#11
Yards / dropback
6.4#17
5.9#10
Completion % over expectedCompletions above what the throws' difficulty predicts, per attempt. Defense column: what it allows.
−4.2#30
+2.6#21
YAC / completion
6.5#3
4.5#4
Sack rateSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.
7.1%#22
5.5%#21
Interception rate
3.5%#29
1.1%#29
Rushing
EPA / rushExpected points added per rush. Defense column: what it allows.
+0.01#8
−0.09#14
Rush success rate
46%#5
42%#17
Explosive rush rateRushes of 10+ yards.
9.9%#15
9.3%#16
Yards / rush
4.9#4
4.1#18
Situational
Third-down conversion
39%#20
43%#22
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown.
67%#8
67%#20
Turnovers / game
1.43#22
1.29#13
Atlanta Falcons · routes and coverage
2024–25 seasons
How the defense plays
Man
42%#10/32
league 40%
Pressure
27%
league 30%
Rushers
4.17
per dropback
Coverage
Share
League
Cover 1
34.2%
29.9%
Cover 3
21.2%
22.7%
Cover 2
18.1%
22.1%
Cover 4
10.2%
8.2%
Cover 6
5.0%
4.5%
2-man
4.3%
6.2%
Cover 0
4.0%
4.2%
Cover 9
2.9%
2.1%
What it has allowed, by route
Route
Tgt
Yds/tgt
AdjYards per target adjusted toward the league average when it rests on few targets.
League
Screen
108
5.2
5.4
5.8
Swing
50
4.7
5.0
5.3
Quick out
210
5.3
5.4
5.5
Slant
66
6.2
6.7
7.2
Hitch / curl
150
7.3
7.1
6.8
Shallow cross
65
7.6
7.1
6.5
Texas / angle
16
4.6
6.1
6.5
In / dig
108
10.3
10.0
9.6
Deep out
78
7.8
7.9
8.0
Corner
44
9.8
10.1
10.4
Post
59
12.2
12.3
12.3
Go
84
8.4
9.0
9.9
Wheel
17
12.9
10.8
10.2
Green: the defense allows fewer yards per target than average on that route (a strength); red: more (a weakness) — matching the panels above.
Where Atlanta Falcons's targets come from
Screen
9%
Swing
8%
Quick out
17%
Slant
5%
Hitch / curl
17%
Shallow cross
4%
Texas / angle
1%
In / dig
10%
Deep out
10%
Corner
4%
Post
6%
Go
7%
Wheel
2%
Route and coverage labels come from play charting: the route is the targeted receiver's, the coverage is what the defense played on the dropback. Descriptions of games already played, not projections.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:ATL scores 55% · allows 47%league 50%
ATL trendsRank 1 = highest in the league, even for points against (allowed most). A rank is not a grade.◷History
17 games · Nov 2025 – Oct 2026
Record
8-9
17 games
Points for
23.8
#13 of 32 · league 22.9
Points against
24.7
#11 of 32 · league 23.0
Scoring margin
−0.9
#18 of 32 · league 0.0
Regular season only, the last 17 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Oct 2026) (7 in 2026, 10 in 2025). Every rank is among the 32 teams with a full sample.
Points by quarter and halfPoints scored and allowed in each quarter, per game. The second half includes overtime.◷History
per game · n = 17
Points in the
For
Against
League avg
1st quarter
4.8#13 of 32
6.1#6 of 32
4.7
2nd quarter
8.3#7 of 32
5.5#24 of 32
6.8
3rd quarter
3.4#27 of 32
5.3#9 of 32
4.8
4th quarter
7.2#10 of 32
6.9#11 of 32
6.4
1st half
13.1#10 of 32
11.6#14 of 32
11.5
2nd half
10.6#20 of 32
13.1#7 of 32
11.5
First half against second halfThe share of a team's points that came before halftime, and the share of the points it allowed.◷History
Measure
ATL
League
n
Share of points scored in the 1st half
55.2%#6 of 32
49.8%
17
Share of points allowed in the 1st half
46.9%#20 of 32
49.8%
17
PaceOffensive plays per game, plays the defense faced, and how often the offense dropped back to pass.◷History
Measure
ATL
League
n
Plays per game
59.7#20 of 32
60.9
17
Plays faced per game
65.4#1 of 32
60.7
17
Dropback rate
54.6%#29 of 32
59.9%
17
Red zoneDrives that reached the opponent's 20, and how often they ended in a touchdown. Counted by drive.◷History
Measure
ATL
League
n
Red-zone trips per game
3.00#21 of 32
3.22
17
Red-zone touchdown rate
70.6%#2 of 32
57.2%
17
Red-zone trips allowed per game
3.65#7 of 32
3.21
17
Red-zone touchdown rate allowed
56.5%#18 of 32
57.3%
17
Home, road, recent form and restSlices of the same games. Ranks compare the same slice across teams; a slice with few games is unranked.◷History
ATL
Games
Record
Points for
Points against
Scoring margin
Plays per game
All games
17
8-9
23.8#13 of 32
24.7#11 of 32
−0.9#18 of 32
59.7#20 of 32
At home
8
3-5
20.0#24 of 32
27.9#4 of 32
−7.9#29 of 32
58.9#22 of 32
On the road
8
5-3
27.4#7 of 32
20.8#24 of 32
+6.6#6 of 32
60.6#17 of 32
Last 5 games
5
3-2
31.0#2 of 32
23.8#15 of 32
+7.2#1 of 32
58.2#24 of 32
Short rest
4
3-1
26.5#4 of 16
22.3#8 of 16
+4.3#7 of 16
62.8#7 of 16
Normal rest
10
3-7
21.4#16 of 32
26.8#7 of 32
−5.4#25 of 32
58.2#24 of 32
Long rest
2
2-0
35.5—
21.5—
+14.0—
62.5—
Neutral-site games count as neither home nor road. A slice with few games moves a lot from one game; read it with its n.
Roster · 2026 · 17Players at quarterback, running back, receiver, tight end and kicker who recorded a stat for the team in the 2026 season, by position.
Records and scoring from final scores; ranks and tendencies from play-by-play. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Drake LondonWR5629.2%
Bijan RobinsonRB3216.7%
Kyle PittsTE2714.1%
Jahan DotsonWR2513.0%
Zachariah BranchWR126.3%
Olamide ZaccheausWR115.7%
Austin HooperTE105.2%
Brian RobinsonRB63.1%
Charlie WoernerTE52.6%
Chris BlairWR42.1%
Nick MuseTE21.0%
Khalil HerbertRB10.5%
Jake MatthewsOT10.5%
Atlanta Falcons5 listed
PITPittsburgh SteelersL 13–20PIT 60%✓
CARCarolina PanthersL 3–34ATL 58%✗
GBGreen Bay PackersW 35–14GB 71%✗
NONew Orleans SaintsW 45–24NO 52%✗
BALBaltimore RavensL 23–30ATL 61%✗
CHIChicago BearsL 23–31CHI 50%✓
SFSan Francisco 49ersW 29–20SF 60%✗
TBTampa Bay BuccaneersNextATL +2.5—
CINCincinnati BengalsATL +3—
KCKansas City Chiefs——
MINMinnesota Vikings——
DETDetroit Lions——
CLECleveland Browns——
WSHWashington Commanders——
