Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Duke Blue Devils

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1658 · #32 of 240 · 17.0 for, 3.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: at ILL · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16581500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+5.6
SP+ (2025)
+6.6
Talent composite
668
Returning production
17%

How they play

Pass rate
55%
Standard-down share
70%
Plays / game
66
Possession / game
29:44

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass success rate
#20 · 47%
Passing PPA / play
#24 · +0.39
Completion %
#25 · 66%
Points / scoring opportunity
#26 · 4.32
Stuff rate
#114 · 22%
Line yards / rush
#98 · 2.80
Power success
#85 · 69%
Rushing PPA / play
#84 · +0.08

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Stuff rate forced
#11 · 23%
Line yards / rush
#20 · 2.62
Takeaways / game
#22 · 1.71
Havoc rate
#36 · 17.2%
Interceptions forced
#129 · 1.3%
Points / scoring opportunity
#128 · 4.39
Passing-down PPA
#127 · +0.44
Completion %
#126 · 67%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsTulane Green WaveW 17–3-9.5DUKE 56%loss0.0
Sep 12W2atIllinois Fighting Illini+7.5ILL 62%
Sep 19W3vsStanford Cardinal
Sep 26W4vsWilliam & Mary Tribe
Oct 10W6atGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Oct 17W7vsNorth Carolina Tar Heels-4.5
Oct 23W8atVirginia Cavaliers+6.5
Oct 31W9vsBoston College Eagles
Nov 7W10atNC State Wolfpack
Nov 14W11at#7 Miami Hurricanes+21
Nov 20W12vsClemson Tigers
Nov 28W13atWake Forest Demon Deacons

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.