Probetrics — Sports Analytics

LSU Tigers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1651 · #33 of 240 · 51.0 for, 10.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs LT · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16511500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+20.4
SP+ (2025)
+10.3
Talent composite
932
Returning production
21%

How they play

Pass rate
56%
Standard-down share
64%
Plays / game
60
Possession / game
30:16

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Completion %
#31 · 66%
Turnovers / game
#42 · 1.08
Pass success rate
#82 · 41%
Rush explosiveness
#87 · 0.92
Stuff rate
#132 · 25%
Line yards / rush
#131 · 2.46
Standard-down PPA
#126 · −0.03
Rush success rate
#121 · 37%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Stuff rate forced
#9 · 25%
Line yards / rush
#15 · 2.59
Rushing PPA / play
#18 · +0.01
Power success
#19 · 64%
Interceptions forced
#110 · 1.7%
Pass explosiveness
#70 · 1.56
Pass success rate
#44 · 39%
Yards / rush
#43 · 3.8
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsClemson TigersW 51–10-10LSU 58%loss0.0
Sep 12W2vsLouisiana Tech BulldogsLSU 72%
Sep 19W3at#9 Ole Miss Rebels+1.5
Sep 26W4vs#8 Texas A&M Aggies-3
Oct 3W5vsMcNeese Cowboys
Oct 10W6atKentucky Wildcats
Oct 17W7vsMississippi State Bulldogs
Oct 24W8atAuburn Tigers
Nov 7W10vs#13 Alabama Crimson Tide-3.5
Nov 14W11vs#5 Texas Longhorns+2.5
Nov 21W12at#20 Tennessee Volunteers-1.5
Nov 28W13atArkansas Razorbacks

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.