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McNeese Cowboys
0-2 last yr · #169 Elo
at
Sat, Oct 3, 7:45 PM ET
Tiger Stadium (LA)
LSU Tigers
1-0 · #33 Elo
Spread —Total —Moneyline —
The read
On rating alone LSU Tigers are 14.3 points better (#33 vs #169 of 240), and LSU add 0.0 for home field.
Who has the edge
Rating
Clear edge
LSU
LSU rated 14.3 points better on Elo (#33 vs #169).
Home & rest
Even
—
LSU gets 0.0 points for home field.
Passing game
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Rushing game
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Third down & red zone
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Form (last 5)
Clear edge
LSU
LSU +41.0 per game over the last five, MCN −32.5.
context · not in the margin
Market
not priced
—
No line yet.
context · not in the margin
The margin, factor by factor
McNeese CowboysLSU Tigers
1393 Elo · #169
RatingThe Elo gap in points — the model's core read on who is better, before the situational pieces below.
LSU +14.3 pts
1651 Elo · #33
road
Home field
not priced
home
—
Rest
even
—
−14.3 pts vs LSU D
Offense vs defenseEach offense's scoring rating against the other defense's — what drives the model total. Shown as an edge, though the winner call runs on Elo.
LSU +21.2 pts
+6.9 pts vs MCN D
L L · −32.5
Form (last 5)Average margin over the last five games. Already inside the ratings — listed so you can see when recent form and the rating disagree.
LSU +36.8 pts
W · +41.0
—
MarketThe consensus spread, read as points. Compare with the model margin above it.
not priced
—
Bars are in points toward the favored side. Blue factors are inside the model's margin; grey ones are context it does not add on top (form and offense/defense are already in the ratings; injuries beyond the quarterback are not priced).
Dissect the matchup
CollegeFootballData, garbage time excluded · 2025 season (last season until three games are in)Season
| MCN | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-0 |
| 8.5 | Points for / game | 51.0 |
| 41.0 | Points against / game | 10.0 |
| 0-0 / 0-2 | Home / road | 1-0 / 0-0 |
| 0-2 | Against the spread | 1-0 |
| 0-2 | Over / underOvers–unders in this team's games. A tendency, not a lean. | 1-0 |
| L L | Last 5 | W |
Season numbers are from 2025 until this season has games.
Power ratings
| MCN | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 1393 | Elo | 1651 |
| #169 of 240 | Rank | #33 of 240 |
| −6.0 | Offense ratingPoints per game above league average scored, opponent-adjusted. | +2.4 |
| −4.5 | Defense ratingPoints per game below league average allowed, opponent-adjusted. Positive is good. | +8.4 |
| — | Strength of scheduleMean Elo of opponents faced this season. | — |
Elo drives the winner call. Offense/defense ratings drive the total.
Head to head
No meetings in our history.
How the margin was built
- Rating gap
- LSU +14.3 pts
- Home field
- LSU +— pts
- Rest
- Even
- Weather / roof
- — pts on the total
- Model margin
- —
- Model total
- —
Market
- Spread
- —
- Total
- —
- Moneyline
- —
Per-book prices appear once the multi-book feed has this game (about a week out).
Informational only. Winner probabilities are backtested and calibrated; spread and total calls are tracked leans. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.