Toledo Rockets
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1534 · #67 of 240 · 20.0 for, 30.0 against · ATS 0-0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- -9.1
- SP+ (2025)
- +6.0
- Talent composite
- 556
- Returning production
- 66%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 49%
- Standard-down share
- 68%
- Plays / game
- 55
- Possession / game
- 30:26
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Havoc rate faced
- #22 · 12.7%
- Power success
- #27 · 78%
- Yards / rush
- #29 · 4.9
- Standard-down PPA
- #32 · +0.18
- Passing-down PPA
- #110 · +0.20
- Rush explosiveness
- #95 · 0.90
- Interception rate
- #94 · 3.3%
- Stuff rate
- #85 · 20%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Passing PPA / play
- #1 · −0.08
- Pass success rate
- #1 · 28%
- Passing-down PPA
- #1 · −0.01
- Completion %
- #2 · 50%
- Pass explosiveness
- #107 · 1.65
- Interceptions forced
- #45 · 2.8%
- Power success
- #41 · 67%
- Takeaways / game
- #34 · 1.62
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4W1 | at Michigan State Spartans | L 20–30 | +10 | TOL 62% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils | — | — | TOL 76% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Temple Owls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vsSan Diego State Aztecs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at Ball State Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vs Buffalo Bulls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at Eastern Michigan Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs Western Michigan Broncos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 4W10 | atSacramento State Hornets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 11W11 | vs Massachusetts Minutemen | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 20W12 | vs Bowling Green Falcons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 27W13 | at Ohio Bobcats | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.