Troy Trojans
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1445 · #116 of 240 · 24.0 for, 21.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
- Winner calls
- 1/1
- Against the spread
- 0-1
- Avg CLV
- 0.00 pts
- SP+ (2026)
- -8.0
- SP+ (2025)
- -4.8
- Talent composite
- 596
- Returning production
- 35%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 51%
- Standard-down share
- 66%
- Plays / game
- 66
- Possession / game
- 29:55
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Power success
- #24 · 78%
- Pass explosiveness
- #26 · 1.69
- Interception rate
- #65 · 2.3%
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #71 · 3.67
- Yards / rush
- #131 · 2.8
- Havoc rate faced
- #127 · 19.6%
- Stuff rate
- #125 · 23%
- Standard-down PPA
- #117 · +0.00
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #30 · 3.17
- Power success
- #31 · 66%
- Passing PPA / play
- #34 · +0.17
- Interceptions forced
- #36 · 3.1%
- Pass explosiveness
- #119 · 1.70
- Line yards / rush
- #95 · 3.01
- Yards / rush
- #87 · 4.5
- Takeaways / game
- #66 · 1.29
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 24–21 | -16.5 | TROY 89%✓ | loss | 0.0 |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Alabama State Hornets | — | — | TROY 55% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at #25 Missouri Tigers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at Utah State Aggies | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 6W6 | vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs UL Monroe Warhawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 29W9 | at James Madison Dukes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | atSouth Alabama Jaguars | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs Georgia Southern Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Arkansas State Red Wolves | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.