Mississippi State Bulldogs

2026 season

12th in the SEC · 2-3 in the conference

Next: at TEX · Oct 31

Record

4-3

2-2 home · 2-1 away

Points for / game

30.0

27.7 allowed

Point differential

+2.3

per game

Model winner calls

4/7

locked before kickoff

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 4-3 in 2026, scoring 30.0 and allowing 27.7 points a game. Next: at Texas Longhorns on Oct 31, 2026.

What to know

Biggest strength

Defense: Rush explosiveness ranks #2 of 137 (0.66).

Biggest weakness

Defense: Completion % ranks #129 of 137 (67%).

Up next

at Texas Longhorns · Oct 31 · MSST +20.5

Season so farHistory

4–3 · avg margin 2.3

+49

ULM

+25

@MINN

@SC

MIZ

ALA

MSST · bars scaled to the biggest margin (49).

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

of 137 teams

▲ Strengths

Interception rate

0.9%#8

Yards / pass attempt

8.2#36

Pass success rate

47%#39

Explosive rush rate

16.0%#41

▼ Weaknesses

Sack rate

7.4%#113

Stuff rate

20%#100

Turnovers / game

1.43#99

Red-zone touchdown rate

54%#98

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

of 137 teams

▲ Strengths

Rush explosiveness

0.66#2

Explosive rush rate

9.6%#21

Red-zone touchdown rate

50%#38

Points added / rush

−0.01#44

▼ Weaknesses

Completion %

67%#129

Stuff rate forced

15%#121

Takeaways / game

0.86#116

Pass success rate

46%#113

How they playHistory

Pass rate

51%

Standard-down share

69%

Plays / game

Early-down pass rate

47%

Neutral-script pass rate

50%

Possession / game

27:50

Ratings

Rating 2026

+4.8

Rating 2025

+4.1

Talent

805

Returning

34%

Full stat sheetHistory

2026 season

OffenseDefense

Passing

Points added / pass

+0.24#61

+0.28#102

Pass success rate

47%#39

46%#113

Pass explosiveness

1.54#73

1.51#53

Yards / pass attempt

8.2#36

7.6#92

Explosive pass rate

11.5%#49

9.9%#73

Sack rate

7.4%#113

6.1%#58

Completion %

65%#47

67%#129

Interception rate

0.9%#8

2.4%#65

Rushing

Points added / rush

+0.12#60

−0.01#44

Rush success rate

46%#45

42%#68

Rush explosiveness

0.93#77

0.66#2

Line yards / rush

3.11#52

3.14#105

Stuff rate

20%#100

15%#121

Power success

71%#75

78%#110

Yards / rush

4.7#54

3.7#45

Explosive rush rate

16.0%#41

9.6%#21

Situational

Standard-down points added

+0.12#55

+0.08#86

Passing-down points added

+0.20#87

+0.30#100

Third-down conversion

42%#59

41%#96

Red-zone touchdown rate

54%#98

50%#38

Points / scoring opportunity

3.73#71

3.81#96

Havoc rate faced

15.5%#81

15.5%#73

Turnovers / game

1.43#99

0.86#116

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

per game · Last 17 games · 7 in 2026, 10 in 2025

MSSTleague averagesolid = scored · striped = allowed

7.3 / 6.8

5.8 / 8.2

6.8 / 8.0

8.6 / 8.5

1st half

13.1 / 15.1

2nd half

15.4 / 17.3

Game

28.5 / 32.4

Points in the 1st half:MSST scores 46% · allows 47%league 52%

MSST trendsHistory

13 games · Oct 2025 – Oct 2026

Record

5-8

13 games

Points for

28.8

#53 of 138 · league 27.6

Points against

32.7

#14 of 138 · league 25.0

Scoring margin

−3.9

#105 of 138 · league +2.5

Regular season only, the last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026) (7 in 2026, 6 in 2025). Every rank is among the 138 teams with a full sample.

Points by quarter and halfHistory

per game · n = 13

Points in the	For	Against	League avg
1st quarter	7.8#23 of 138	6.8#23 of 138	6.0
2nd quarter	6.0#117 of 138	9.2#27 of 138	8.4
3rd quarter	6.8#42 of 138	8.5#6 of 138	6.0
4th quarter	8.2#30 of 138	7.7#34 of 138	7.0
1st half	13.8#76 of 138	15.9#23 of 138	14.4
2nd half	15.0#37 of 138	16.8#10 of 138	13.1

First half against second halfHistory

Measure	MSST	League	n
Share of points scored in the 1st half	47.9%#105 of 138	52.1%	13
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	48.7%#91 of 138	50.9%	13

PaceHistory

Measure	MSST	League	n
Plays per game	72.5#6 of 137	65.4	13
Plays faced per game	69.5#15 of 137	64.6	13
Dropback rate	49.9%#63 of 137	48.4%	13

Red zoneHistory

Measure	MSST	League	n
Red-zone trips per game	3.62#63 of 137	3.53	13
Red-zone touchdown rate	59.6%#58 of 137	57.6%	13
Red-zone trips allowed per game	3.54#44 of 137	3.29	13
Red-zone touchdown rate allowed	56.5%#60 of 137	55.3%	13

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

MSST	Games	Record	Points for	Points against	Scoring margin	Plays per game
All games	13	5-8	28.8#53 of 138	32.7#14 of 138	−3.9#105 of 138	72.5#6 of 137
At home	7	2-5	29.9#77 of 138	34.3#5 of 138	−4.4#124 of 138	73.1#8 of 138
On the road	6	3-3	27.5#37 of 138	30.8#54 of 138	−3.3#58 of 138	71.7#8 of 137
Last 5 games	5	2-3	22.0#107 of 138	33.6#21 of 138	−11.6#120 of 138	66.8#52 of 138
Short rest	0	—	——	——	——	——
Normal rest	9	4-5	30.2#48 of 138	35.6#8 of 138	−5.3#106 of 138	71.4#11 of 138
Long rest	3	0-3	13.3#24 of 24	30.7#13 of 24	−17.3#20 of 24	73.7#3 of 24

Neutral-site games count as neither home nor road. A slice with few games moves a lot from one game; read it with its n.

Every team's trends, sortable → · This season's games only →

Roster · 2026 · 18

All MSST players

Quarterbacks · 2: Kamario Taylor Parker Puckett
Running Backs · 5: Fluff Bothwell Kolin Wilson J.J. Hill Xavier Gayten Cooper Crosby
Wide Receivers · 8: Anthony Evans III Sanfrisco Magee Marquis Johnson Zion Ragins Zion Crumpton Gracen Harris Camden Capehart Matt Mayfield
Tight Ends · 3: Sam West Joeseph Skipworth Riley Williams

Records and scoring from final scores; ranks and tendencies from play-by-play. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

MSST trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 18

Mississippi State Bulldogs

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

MSST trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 18

Mississippi State Bulldogs

What to knowiThree takeaways from the data below: the biggest mismatch, injuries or form, and the game setup.

Season so fariEach game's final margin: green up = win, red down = loss; taller = bigger margin.◷History

Offense · strengths and weaknessesiMSST's offense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

Defense · strengths and weaknessesiMSST's defense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

How they playiHow the offense plays (pass rate, pace, formation): style, not good or bad.◷History

RatingsiRating: points vs an average team. Talent: recruiting roster rating. Returning: share of last year's production back.

ScheduleiEvery game this season: results, upcoming kickoffs and spreads, and the model's locked call with its grade.

Full stat sheetiEvery measure for MSST: offense (left) and defense (right), with league rank of 137 (1 = best).◷History

Scoring by quarter and halfiPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History

MSST trendsiRank 1 = highest in the league, even for points against (allowed most). A rank is not a grade.◷History

Points by quarter and halfiPoints scored and allowed in each quarter, per game. The second half includes overtime.◷History

First half against second halfiThe share of a team's points that came before halftime, and the share of the points it allowed.◷History

PaceiOffensive plays per game, plays the defense faced, and how often the offense dropped back to pass.◷History

Red zoneiDrives that reached the opponent's 20, and how often they ended in a touchdown. Counted by drive.◷History

Home, road, recent form and restiSlices of the same games. Ranks compare the same slice across teams; a slice with few games is unranked.◷History

Roster · 2026 · 18iPlayers at quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end who recorded a stat for the team in the 2026 season, by position.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

What to knowiThree takeaways from the data below: the biggest mismatch, injuries or form, and the game setup.

Season so fariEach game's final margin: green up = win, red down = loss; taller = bigger margin.◷History

Offense · strengths and weaknessesiMSST's offense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

Defense · strengths and weaknessesiMSST's defense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

How they playiHow the offense plays (pass rate, pace, formation): style, not good or bad.◷History

RatingsiRating: points vs an average team. Talent: recruiting roster rating. Returning: share of last year's production back.

ScheduleiEvery game this season: results, upcoming kickoffs and spreads, and the model's locked call with its grade.

Full stat sheetiEvery measure for MSST: offense (left) and defense (right), with league rank of 137 (1 = best).◷History

Scoring by quarter and halfiPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History

MSST trendsiRank 1 = highest in the league, even for points against (allowed most). A rank is not a grade.◷History

Points by quarter and halfiPoints scored and allowed in each quarter, per game. The second half includes overtime.◷History

First half against second halfiThe share of a team's points that came before halftime, and the share of the points it allowed.◷History

PaceiOffensive plays per game, plays the defense faced, and how often the offense dropped back to pass.◷History

Red zoneiDrives that reached the opponent's 20, and how often they ended in a touchdown. Counted by drive.◷History

Home, road, recent form and restiSlices of the same games. Ranks compare the same slice across teams; a slice with few games is unranked.◷History

Roster · 2026 · 18iPlayers at quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end who recorded a stat for the team in the 2026 season, by position.

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

MSST trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 18

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

MSST trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 18