Mississippi State Bulldogs
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1552 · #63 of 240 · 62.0 for, 13.0 against · ATS 1-0
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
- Winner calls
- 1/1
- Against the spread
- 0-1
- Avg CLV
- 0.00 pts
- SP+ (2026)
- +4.8
- SP+ (2025)
- +4.1
- Talent composite
- 805
- Returning production
- 34%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 46%
- Standard-down share
- 66%
- Plays / game
- 67
- Possession / game
- 28:41
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #18 · 1.71
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #22 · 4.41
- Yards / pass attempt
- #33 · 8.0
- Third-down conversion
- #38 · 43%
- Havoc rate faced
- #117 · 18.2%
- Yards / rush
- #107 · 3.7
- Standard-down PPA
- #103 · +0.05
- Pass success rate
- #101 · 39%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush explosiveness
- #30 · 0.89
- Completion %
- #49 · 60%
- Takeaways / game
- #53 · 1.38
- Pass success rate
- #56 · 40%
- Line yards / rush
- #134 · 3.41
- Stuff rate forced
- #125 · 14%
- Rush success rate
- #123 · 48%
- Pass explosiveness
- #123 · 1.73
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs UL Monroe Warhawks | W 62–13 | -28.5 | MSST 90%✓ | loss | 0.0 |
| Sep 12W2 | at Minnesota Golden Gophers | — | -1.5 | MINN 62% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at South Carolina Gamecocks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs #25 Missouri Tigers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs #13 Alabama Crimson Tide | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at #11 LSU Tigers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs #10 Oklahoma Sooners | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | at #5 Texas Longhorns | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs Vanderbilt Commodores | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vsAuburn Tigers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 27W13 | at #9 Ole Miss Rebels | — | +14.5 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.