Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

2026: 9-4 (last season) · Elo 1519 · #72 of 240 · 29.5 for, 22.8 against · ATS 10-3

Next: at NEV · Sep 5

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15191500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
-7.3
SP+ (2025)
+1.6
Talent composite
612
Returning production
84%

How they play

Pass rate
57%
Standard-down share
67%
Plays / game
65
Possession / game
29:36

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#12 · 81%
Third-down conversion
#25 · 46%
Points / scoring opportunity
#30 · 4.21
Completion %
#32 · 66%
Turnovers / game
#113 · 1.62
Stuff rate
#96 · 20%
Standard-down PPA
#95 · +0.06
Rush explosiveness
#93 · 0.91

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#2 · 55%
Completion %
#10 · 55%
Points / scoring opportunity
#10 · 2.72
Pass success rate
#17 · 36%
Rush explosiveness
#129 · 1.13
Yards / rush
#116 · 4.9
Takeaways / game
#96 · 1.08
Rushing PPA / play
#61 · +0.09
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1atNevada Wolf PackPKWKU 68%
Sep 12W2at#3 Georgia Bulldogs+35.5UGA 91%
Sep 19W3at#6 Indiana Hoosiers
Sep 26W4vsMercyhurst Lakers
Oct 1W5atNew Mexico State Aggies
Oct 8W6vsMissouri State Bears
Oct 14W7atSam Houston Bearkats
Oct 27W9vsDelaware Blue Hens
Nov 7W10atMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Nov 14W11vsJacksonville State Gamecocks
Nov 21W12atLiberty Flames
Nov 28W13vsKennesaw State Owls

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.