Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
2026: 3-9 (last season) · Elo 1262 · #230 of 240 · 22.4 for, 30.9 against · ATS 6-6
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- -26.5
- SP+ (2025)
- -16.0
- Talent composite
- 572
- Returning production
- 33%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 62%
- Standard-down share
- 68%
- Plays / game
- 68
- Possession / game
- 28:46
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Turnovers / game
- #31 · 1.00
- Interception rate
- #49 · 2.0%
- Rush success rate
- #56 · 45%
- Pass success rate
- #62 · 42%
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #116 · 3.20
- Stuff rate
- #116 · 22%
- Pass explosiveness
- #115 · 1.43
- Havoc rate faced
- #114 · 18.0%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush explosiveness
- #9 · 0.83
- Stuff rate forced
- #16 · 23%
- Line yards / rush
- #19 · 2.62
- Power success
- #29 · 66%
- Pass success rate
- #130 · 48%
- Passing PPA / play
- #125 · +0.41
- Yards / pass attempt
- #122 · 8.2
- Standard-down PPA
- #110 · +0.17
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs Murray State Racers | — | -22.5 | MUR 54% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | at Marshall Thundering Herd | — | +17.5 | MRSH 77% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Nevada Wolf Pack | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at Jacksonville State Gamecocks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at Kansas Jayhawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 13W7 | vs Delaware Blue Hens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 20W8 | at Florida International Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 28W9 | vs Kennesaw State Owls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | at Liberty Flames | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | at Sam Houston Bearkats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | vs New Mexico State Aggies | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.