Alabama Crimson Tide
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1776 · #15 of 240 · 48.0 for, 10.0 against · ATS 1-0
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +17.6
- SP+ (2025)
- +14.8
- Talent composite
- 974
- Returning production
- 26%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 56%
- Standard-down share
- 70%
- Plays / game
- 61
- Possession / game
- 31:35
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Turnovers / game
- #15 · 0.87
- Passing-down PPA
- #29 · +0.40
- Pass success rate
- #33 · 45%
- Completion %
- #33 · 66%
- Yards / rush
- #126 · 3.4
- Rush explosiveness
- #122 · 0.83
- Rushing PPA / play
- #114 · +0.02
- Stuff rate
- #108 · 21%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Passing PPA / play
- #17 · +0.11
- Standard-down PPA
- #19 · −0.01
- Havoc rate
- #26 · 17.7%
- Yards / pass attempt
- #31 · 6.4
- Interceptions forced
- #130 · 1.3%
- Power success
- #100 · 75%
- Rush explosiveness
- #90 · 1.00
- Completion %
- #72 · 62%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs East Carolina Pirates | W 48–10 | -27.5 | ALA 71% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | at Kentucky Wildcats | — | -10 | ALA 69% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Florida State Seminoles | — | -15.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs South Carolina Gamecocks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at Mississippi State Bulldogs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vs #3 Georgia Bulldogs | — | +3 | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at #20 Tennessee Volunteers | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs #8 Texas A&M Aggies | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at #11 LSU Tigers | — | +3.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | at Vanderbilt Commodores | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs Chattanooga Mocs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | vsAuburn Tigers | — | -10 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.