Probetrics — Sports Analytics
College Football slate
East Carolina Pirates at #13Alabama Crimson Tide
Sat, Sep 5, 12:00 PM ET · Bryant-Denny Stadium · 93°
No line
Locks when a line posts.

Power ratings

TeamEloOffDefSOSGP
East Carolina Pirates16473.86.80
Alabama Crimson Tide17587.010.40

Off/Def are points above league average scored / prevented, opponent-adjusted. SOS is the mean Elo of opponents faced this season.

How the margin was built

Rating gap
Home field
ALA +— pts
Rest
Even
Weather / roof
— pts on the total
Model margin
Market spread
Model total
Moneyline

Informational only. Winner probabilities are backtested and calibrated; spread and total calls are tracked leans. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.