Missouri State Bears
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1349 · #205 of 240 · 0.0 for, 50.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
- Winner calls
- 1/1
- Against the spread
- 0-1
- Avg CLV
- 2.00 pts
- SP+ (2026)
- -19.1
- SP+ (2025)
- -10.7
- Talent composite
- 550
- Returning production
- 31%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 56%
- Standard-down share
- 64%
- Plays / game
- 63
- Possession / game
- 31:21
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #8 · 1.78
- Yards / pass attempt
- #20 · 8.4
- Rush explosiveness
- #29 · 1.07
- Interception rate
- #40 · 1.8%
- Havoc rate faced
- #135 · 23.9%
- Stuff rate
- #134 · 27%
- Line yards / rush
- #130 · 2.49
- Power success
- #125 · 61%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Line yards / rush
- #47 · 2.76
- Interceptions forced
- #53 · 2.7%
- Stuff rate forced
- #59 · 20%
- Pass explosiveness
- #69 · 1.56
- Power success
- #128 · 83%
- Standard-down PPA
- #118 · +0.19
- Passing PPA / play
- #106 · +0.33
- Completion %
- #103 · 64%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | at #8 Texas A&M Aggies | L 0–50 | +38.5 | TA&M 95%✓ | loss | +2.0 |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Lindenwood Lions | — | — | LIN 51% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Marshall Thundering Herd | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at #19 SMU Mustangs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 8W6 | at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 14W7 | vs Kennesaw State Owls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 20W8 | at Delaware Blue Hens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 27W9 | vs Sam Houston Bearkats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at Florida International Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vs New Mexico State Aggies | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | at Jacksonville State Gamecocks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | vs Liberty Flames | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.