Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Seattle Seahawks

2026: 17-3 (last season) · Elo 1671 · #1 of 32 · 29.2 for, 16.9 against · ATS 15-5

Next: vs NE · Sep 9

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16711500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

How they play

Pass rate
52%
Early-down pass rate
48%
Neutral-script pass rate
53%
Pass rate over expected
−6.5%
Seconds per play
30.7
No-huddle
7%
Shotgun
47%
Play-action rate
25%
RPO rate
2%

Offense · best and worst (of 32)

Pass success rate
#1 · 52%
Yards / dropback
#1 · 7.5
Completion % over expected
#4 · +4.4
Explosive pass rate
#6 · 10.2%
Turnovers / game
#26 · 1.30
Interception rate
#25 · 2.6%
Rush success rate
#24 · 39%
EPA / rush
#21 · −0.06

Defense · best and worst (of 32)

EPA / rush
#1 · −0.19
Rush success rate
#1 · 36%
Explosive rush rate
#1 · 5.0%
Yards / rush
#1 · 3.5
YAC / completion
#21 · 5.3
Sack rate generated
#11 · 6.9%
Completion % over expected
#8 · −1.4
Explosive pass rate
#8 · 7.2%

Seattle Seahawks · key players

  • Sam Darnold QB18.9/28.4 · 236 yds/g · 30-14 TD-INT · +0.16 EPA/db
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR9.4 tgt/g · 36% share · 100 yds/g · 12 TD · aDOT 11.1
  • Cooper Kupp WR4.9 tgt/g · 18% share · 39 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 7.8
  • AJ Barner TE3.8 tgt/g · 13% share · 29 yds/g · 7 TD · aDOT 4.5
  • Rashid Shaheed WR3.0 tgt/g · 10% share · 22 yds/g · 0 TD · aDOT 15.8
  • Kenneth Walker III RB14.3 car/g · 67 yds/g · 4.7 ypc · 9 TD · −0.04 EPA/car
  • Zach Charbonnet RBOut11.1 car/g · 44 yds/g · 4.0 ypc · 12 TD · −0.01 EPA/car

2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.

2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 9W1vsNew England Patriots-3.5SEA 71%
Sep 20W2atArizona Cardinals-10
Sep 27W3atWashington Commanders-3.5
Oct 4W4vsLos Angeles Chargers-3
Oct 11W5vsSan Francisco 49ers-3.5
Oct 15W6atDenver Broncos-2.5
Oct 25W7vsKansas City Chiefs
Nov 2W8vsChicago Bears
Nov 8W9vsArizona Cardinals
Nov 15W10atLas Vegas Raiders
Nov 29W12atSan Francisco 49ers
Dec 7W13vsDallas Cowboys
Dec 13W14vsNew York Giants
Dec 19W15atPhiladelphia Eagles
Dec 25W16vsLos Angeles Rams+1.5
Jan 3W17atCarolina Panthers
Jan 10W18atLos Angeles Rams

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.