Pittsburgh Steelers
2026: 10-8 (last season) · Elo 1509 · #16 of 32 · 22.4 for, 23.2 against · ATS 9-8-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 61%
- Early-down pass rate
- 55%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 55%
- Pass rate over expected
- −0.8%
- Seconds per play
- 29.6
- No-huddle
- 12%
- Shotgun
- 67%
- Play-action rate
- 19%
- RPO rate
- 9%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- YAC / completion
- #1 · 6.4
- Rush success rate
- #6 · 44%
- EPA / rush
- #7 · −0.00
- Turnovers / game
- #7 · 0.89
- Pass success rate
- #27 · 42%
- Yards / dropback
- #25 · 5.8
- Explosive pass rate
- #25 · 7.0%
- EPA / dropback
- #22 · −0.01
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #5 · 52%
- Takeaways / game
- #5 · 1.56
- Sack rate generated
- #9 · 7.1%
- Interceptions forced
- #10 · 2.5%
- Third-down conversion
- #26 · 43%
- EPA / rush
- #26 · −0.01
- Yards / rush
- #19 · 4.3
- Explosive rush rate
- #19 · 9.9%
Pittsburgh Steelers · key players
- Aaron Rodgers QB20.2/31.2 · 204 yds/g · 24-8 TD-INT · +0.00 EPA/db
- DK Metcalf WRQuestionable6.5 tgt/g · 22% share · 56 yds/g · 6 TD · aDOT 10.6
- Calvin Austin III WR4.1 tgt/g · 14% share · 25 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 11.7
- Pat Freiermuth TE3.6 tgt/g · 11% share · 32 yds/g · 4 TD · aDOT 6.8
- Jonnu Smith TE3.2 tgt/g · 11% share · 12 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 4.3
- Jaylen Warren RB13.1 car/g · 59 yds/g · 4.5 ypc · 6 TD · −0.02 EPA/car
- Kenny Gainwell RB6.7 car/g · 31 yds/g · 4.6 ypc · 5 TD · −0.02 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | vs Atlanta Falcons | — | -3.5 | PIT 58% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at New England Patriots | — | +4.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 1W4 | at Cleveland Browns | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | vs Indianapolis Colts | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | vs New Orleans Saints | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | vsCleveland Browns | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | atCincinnati Bengals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | at Philadelphia Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 27W12 | vs Denver Broncos | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | vs Houston Texans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 14W14 | at Jacksonville Jaguars | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | vs Baltimore Ravens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | vs Carolina Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | at Tennessee Titans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | atBaltimore Ravens | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.