Detroit Lions
2026: 9-8 (last season) · Elo 1553 · #10 of 32 · 28.3 for, 24.3 against · ATS 8-9
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 59%
- Early-down pass rate
- 54%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 53%
- Pass rate over expected
- −4.6%
- Seconds per play
- 29.6
- No-huddle
- 6%
- Shotgun
- 52%
- Play-action rate
- 25%
- RPO rate
- 4%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- YAC / completion
- #2 · 6.1
- Interception rate
- #4 · 1.4%
- EPA / dropback
- #5 · +0.17
- Explosive pass rate
- #5 · 10.7%
- Rush success rate
- #20 · 41%
- Third-down conversion
- #19 · 39%
- Sack rate
- #17 · 6.3%
- EPA / rush
- #16 · −0.05
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- YAC / completion
- #3 · 4.3
- Pass success rate
- #6 · 42%
- Sack rate generated
- #8 · 7.7%
- Completion % over expected
- #9 · −1.1
- Explosive pass rate
- #26 · 9.1%
- Yards / rush
- #24 · 4.4
- Explosive rush rate
- #23 · 11.3%
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #22 · 60%
Detroit Lions · key players
- Jared Goff QB23.1/34.0 · 268 yds/g · 34-8 TD-INT · +0.17 EPA/db
- Amon-Ra St. Brown WR10.1 tgt/g · 32% share · 82 yds/g · 11 TD · aDOT 8.1
- Jameson Williams WR6.0 tgt/g · 19% share · 66 yds/g · 7 TD · aDOT 12.6
- Sam LaPorta TEQuestionable5.4 tgt/g · 18% share · 54 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 5.7
- Kalif Raymond WR2.5 tgt/g · 7% share · 24 yds/g · 1 TD · aDOT 5.6
- Jahmyr Gibbs RB14.3 car/g · 72 yds/g · 5.0 ypc · 13 TD · −0.01 EPA/car
- David Montgomery RB9.3 car/g · 42 yds/g · 4.5 ypc · 8 TD · +0.00 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | vs New Orleans Saints | — | -7 | DET 69% | — | — |
| Sep 17W2 | at Buffalo Bills | — | +3 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | vs New York Jets | — | -9.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | at Carolina Panthers | — | -3 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | at Arizona Cardinals | — | -8.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | vs Green Bay Packers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | vs Minnesota Vikings | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | at Miami Dolphins | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | vs New England Patriots | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 26W12 | vs Chicago Bears | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | at Atlanta Falcons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vs Tennessee Titans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | atMinnesota Vikings | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 28W16 | vs New York Giants | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | atChicago Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | atGreen Bay Packers | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.