Carolina Panthers
2026: 8-10 (last season) · Elo 1427 · #26 of 32 · 19.0 for, 23.0 against · ATS 11-7
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 59%
- Early-down pass rate
- 53%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 52%
- Pass rate over expected
- −5.3%
- Seconds per play
- 30.7
- No-huddle
- 6%
- Shotgun
- 67%
- Play-action rate
- 22%
- RPO rate
- 10%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Rush success rate
- #13 · 42%
- Completion % over expected
- #14 · +0.9
- Sack rate
- #14 · 5.9%
- Yards / rush
- #14 · 4.3
- Yards / dropback
- #27 · 5.7
- EPA / dropback
- #26 · −0.03
- Third-down conversion
- #25 · 37%
- Turnovers / game
- #23 · 1.28
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Interceptions forced
- #8 · 2.9%
- Explosive rush rate
- #11 · 8.9%
- Explosive pass rate
- #12 · 7.8%
- Rush success rate
- #12 · 41%
- Third-down conversion
- #30 · 46%
- EPA / rush
- #27 · +0.01
- Sack rate generated
- #27 · 5.1%
- EPA / dropback
- #24 · +0.12
Carolina Panthers · key players
- Bryce Young QB19.1/30.5 · 193 yds/g · 24-12 TD-INT · −0.05 EPA/db
- Tetairoa McMillan WR7.2 tgt/g · 25% share · 61 yds/g · 7 TD · aDOT 11.7
- Xavier Legette WRQuestionable4.3 tgt/g · 14% share · 23 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 10.0
- Jalen Coker WR4.6 tgt/g · 17% share · 44 yds/g · 4 TD · aDOT 10.5
- Tommy Tremble TE2.5 tgt/g · 9% share · 17 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 4.3
- Rico Dowdle RB13.4 car/g · 60 yds/g · 4.5 ypc · 6 TD · −0.02 EPA/car
- Chuba Hubbard RBQuestionable9.2 car/g · 35 yds/g · 3.8 ypc · 3 TD · −0.10 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | vs Chicago Bears | — | +2.75 | CHI 58% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at Atlanta Falcons | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | at Cleveland Browns | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | vs Detroit Lions | — | +3 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | at Philadelphia Eagles | — | +6.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 29W8 | at Green Bay Packers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | vs Denver Broncos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | at New Orleans Saints | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | vs Baltimore Ravens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 30W12 | atTampa Bay Buccaneers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | at Minnesota Vikings | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vsNew Orleans Saints | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | at Pittsburgh Steelers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | vs Seattle Seahawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | vsAtlanta Falcons | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.