Baltimore Ravens
2026: 8-9 (last season) · Elo 1549 · #12 of 32 · 24.9 for, 23.4 against · ATS 6-11
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 53%
- Early-down pass rate
- 45%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 46%
- Pass rate over expected
- −8.8%
- Seconds per play
- 31.0
- No-huddle
- 3%
- Shotgun
- 65%
- Play-action rate
- 22%
- RPO rate
- 6%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Yards / rush
- #1 · 5.2
- Explosive rush rate
- #2 · 13.0%
- EPA / rush
- #3 · +0.05
- Completion % over expected
- #6 · +3.0
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #27 · 47%
- Sack rate
- #27 · 9.0%
- Turnovers / game
- #24 · 1.29
- Interception rate
- #24 · 2.6%
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #4 · 51%
- YAC / completion
- #10 · 4.8
- EPA / rush
- #11 · −0.09
- Third-down conversion
- #11 · 38%
- Sack rate generated
- #31 · 4.3%
- Explosive pass rate
- #28 · 9.8%
- Completion % over expected
- #27 · +2.4
- Interceptions forced
- #23 · 1.8%
Baltimore Ravens · key players
- Lamar Jackson QB14.8/23.2 · 196 yds/g · 21-7 TD-INT · +0.05 EPA/db
- Zay Flowers WRQuestionable6.9 tgt/g · 30% share · 71 yds/g · 5 TD · aDOT 10.2
- Mark Andrews TE4.1 tgt/g · 17% share · 25 yds/g · 5 TD · aDOT 7.3
- DeAndre Hopkins WR2.3 tgt/g · 10% share · 19 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 13.2
- Rashod Bateman WR2.9 tgt/g · 12% share · 17 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 12.3
- Derrick Henry RB18.1 car/g · 94 yds/g · 5.2 ypc · 16 TD · +0.03 EPA/car
- Keaton Mitchell RB4.9 car/g · 28 yds/g · 5.8 ypc · 1 TD · +0.04 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | at Indianapolis Colts | — | -3.5 | BAL 56% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | vs New Orleans Saints | — | -7.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | vs Dallas Cowboys | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | vs Tennessee Titans | — | -8.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | at Atlanta Falcons | — | -4.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | at Cleveland Browns | — | -6.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | — | -3.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | at Buffalo Bills | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 5W9 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 16W10 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | at Carolina Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | at Houston Texans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | at Pittsburgh Steelers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | vsCleveland Browns | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 31W17 | atCincinnati Bengals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | vsPittsburgh Steelers | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.