Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Arizona Cardinals

2026: 3-14 (last season) · Elo 1396 · #29 of 32 · 20.9 for, 28.7 against · ATS 6-11

Next: at LAC · Sep 13

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

13961500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

How they play

Pass rate
70%
Early-down pass rate
67%
Neutral-script pass rate
63%
Pass rate over expected
+4.0%
Seconds per play
28.3
No-huddle
12%
Shotgun
72%
Play-action rate
25%
RPO rate
3%

Offense · best and worst (of 32)

Interception rate
#7 · 1.7%
Third-down conversion
#9 · 42%
Completion % over expected
#13 · +1.0
Turnovers / game
#17 · 1.18
Explosive rush rate
#29 · 7.7%
EPA / rush
#29 · −0.11
Rush success rate
#26 · 38%
Yards / dropback
#26 · 5.7

Defense · best and worst (of 32)

YAC / completion
#16 · 5.0
Takeaways / game
#18 · 1.12
Completion % over expected
#19 · +1.0
Explosive pass rate
#22 · 8.7%
Pass success rate
#31 · 52%
Third-down conversion
#29 · 45%
Explosive rush rate
#29 · 12.8%
Sack rate generated
#28 · 4.8%

Arizona Cardinals · key players

  • Jacoby Brissett QB22.5/34.6 · 240 yds/g · 23-8 TD-INT · −0.01 EPA/db
  • Trey McBride TE9.9 tgt/g · 28% share · 73 yds/g · 11 TD · aDOT 6.7
  • Michael Wilson WR7.4 tgt/g · 19% share · 59 yds/g · 7 TD · aDOT 11.9
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. WR6.1 tgt/g · 18% share · 51 yds/g · 4 TD · aDOT 13.0
  • Elijah Higgins TE2.5 tgt/g · 8% share · 20 yds/g · 0 TD · aDOT 4.0
  • Michael Carter RB7.1 car/g · 26 yds/g · 3.6 ypc · 1 TD · −0.07 EPA/car
  • Bam Knight RB8.2 car/g · 27 yds/g · 3.3 ypc · 4 TD · −0.20 EPA/car

2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.

2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 13W1atLos Angeles Chargers+10LAC 74%
Sep 20W2vsSeattle Seahawks+10
Sep 27W3atSan Francisco 49ers+11.5
Oct 4W4atNew York Giants+7
Oct 11W5vsDetroit Lions+8.5
Oct 18W6atLos Angeles Rams+13.5
Oct 25W7vsDenver Broncos
Nov 1W8atDallas Cowboys
Nov 8W9atSeattle Seahawks
Nov 15W10vsLos Angeles Rams
Nov 22W11atKansas City Chiefs
Nov 29W12vsWashington Commanders
Dec 6W13vsPhiladelphia Eagles
Dec 20W15vsNew York Jets
Dec 27W16atNew Orleans Saints
Jan 3W17vsLas Vegas Raiders
Jan 10W18vsSan Francisco 49ers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.