
Los Angeles Chargers
2026: 11-7 (last season) · Elo 1527 · #13 of 32 · 20.6 for, 19.8 against · ATS 9-9
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 64%
- Early-down pass rate
- 59%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 60%
- Pass rate over expected
- +0.8%
- Seconds per play
- 30.8
- No-huddle
- 5%
- Shotgun
- 72%
- Play-action rate
- 23%
- RPO rate
- 2%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Third-down conversion
- #4 · 45%
- Turnovers / game
- #13 · 1.11
- Pass success rate
- #15 · 46%
- Completion % over expected
- #18 · +0.4
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #30 · 46%
- Sack rate
- #29 · 9.1%
- Explosive rush rate
- #28 · 8.0%
- YAC / completion
- #26 · 4.7
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Interceptions forced
- #1 · 3.8%
- Completion % over expected
- #2 · −4.9
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #2 · 44%
- EPA / rush
- #3 · −0.12
- YAC / completion
- #29 · 6.0
- Explosive rush rate
- #22 · 10.9%
- Yards / rush
- #14 · 4.1
- Yards / dropback
- #10 · 5.8
Los Angeles Chargers · key players
- Justin Herbert QB21.1/31.9 · 229 yds/g · 26-13 TD-INT · +0.00 EPA/db
- Keenan Allen WR7.2 tgt/g · 22% share · 45 yds/g · 4 TD · aDOT 8.3
- Ladd McConkey WR6.5 tgt/g · 21% share · 48 yds/g · 6 TD · aDOT 9.9
- Quentin Johnston WR6.4 tgt/g · 20% share · 54 yds/g · 8 TD · aDOT 11.6
- Oronde Gadsden II TE4.5 tgt/g · 14% share · 43 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 8.9
- Kimani Vidal RB12.8 car/g · 52 yds/g · 4.1 ypc · 3 TD · −0.10 EPA/car
- Omarion Hampton RB12.5 car/g · 54 yds/g · 4.4 ypc · 4 TD · −0.01 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | vs | — | -10 | LAC 74% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | vs | — | -8.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | at | — | +3 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | at | — | +3 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | vs | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | at | — | +2.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 16W10 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 17W15 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.