Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Sam Houston Bearkats

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1111 · #240 of 240 · 21.0 for, 24.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs TLSA · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

11111500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
-26.0
SP+ (2025)
-27.8
Talent composite
554
Returning production
58%

How they play

Pass rate
55%
Standard-down share
65%
Plays / game
57
Possession / game
28:30

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#20 · 1.09
Interception rate
#53 · 2.1%
Yards / rush
#75 · 4.3
Turnovers / game
#82 · 1.33
Third-down conversion
#135 · 22%
Passing-down PPA
#134 · +0.01
Passing PPA / play
#132 · +0.01
Havoc rate faced
#131 · 20.0%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Passing-down PPA
#21 · +0.17
Takeaways / game
#40 · 1.50
Power success
#45 · 68%
Pass explosiveness
#50 · 1.51
Completion %
#135 · 70%
Pass success rate
#133 · 50%
Yards / rush
#132 · 5.4
Yards / pass attempt
#132 · 8.9
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1atTroy TrojansL 21–24+16.5TROY 89%loss0.0
Sep 12W2vsTulsa Golden Hurricane+10.5TLSA 75%
Sep 19W3vsNicholls Colonels
Sep 26W4at#12 Texas Tech Red Raiders
Oct 8W6atLiberty Flames
Oct 14W7vsWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers
Oct 21W8vsNew Mexico State Aggies
Oct 27W9atMissouri State Bears
Nov 7W10atJacksonville State Gamecocks
Nov 14W11vsKennesaw State Owls
Nov 21W12vsMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Nov 28W13atFlorida International Panthers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.