Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Oklahoma State Cowboys

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1251 · #233 of 240 · 10.0 for, 24.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: vs ORE · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

12511500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+6.9
SP+ (2025)
-15.1
Talent composite
673
Returning production
0%

How they play

Pass rate
52%
Standard-down share
64%
Plays / game
57
Possession / game
28:53

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#28 · 1.6%
Stuff rate
#88 · 20%
Power success
#88 · 69%
Turnovers / game
#89 · 1.42
Rushing PPA / play
#133 · −0.04
Standard-down PPA
#131 · −0.07
Yards / pass attempt
#129 · 5.7
Rush success rate
#127 · 36%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#40 · 67%
Interceptions forced
#41 · 3.0%
Stuff rate forced
#46 · 20%
Rush success rate
#76 · 43%
Passing PPA / play
#132 · +0.44
Yards / pass attempt
#131 · 8.9
Standard-down PPA
#130 · +0.24
Pass success rate
#129 · 48%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1atTulsa Golden HurricaneL 10–24-13.5TLSA 64%win0.0
Sep 12W2vs#2 Oregon Ducks+21.5ORE 97%
Sep 19W3vsMurray State Racers
Sep 26W4atWest Virginia Mountaineers
Oct 10W6vsUCF Knights
Oct 17W7at#23 Houston Cougars
Oct 24W8vsColorado Buffaloes
Oct 31W9atIowa State Cyclones
Nov 7W10atKansas State Wildcats
Nov 14W11vs#12 Texas Tech Red Raiders+15.5
Nov 21W12atArizona State Sun Devils
Nov 28W13vsKansas Jayhawks

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.